Best Caleb Williams Player Props for Bears vs. Packers in Week 14

• Caleb Williams odds to win the NFL MVP award have continued to grow

• Chicago possesses a half game lead over Green Bay for first in the NFC North

• The Packers defense ranks top-10 in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush Win Rate

With only five games left in the regular season, the Chicago Bears can apply some serious pressure to Green Bay as they possess a half game lead over the Packers for first in the NFC North. Unfortunately for Chicago, negative regression looms large over Caleb Williams as the Packers pressure will force him to make plays with his legs which lowers the Bears chances of sustaining their drives down the field.

Best Caleb Williams Player Props for Bears vs. Packers

Odds provided by BetMGM, one of our top-rated prop betting sites. Get up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets* should you lose your first wager after creating an account using the BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS. Read more about this promo in our BetMGM Sportsbook review.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

If you're in a state where BetMGM Sportsbook is not yet legal, we recommend playing at Underdog. Read our Underdog Fantasy Review and sign up below with our promo code WSNPLAY.

Caleb Williams Under 193.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Caleb Williams has seen his odds to win the MVP award skyrocket as the Chicago Bears quarterback has steadily climbed up the board in Quarterback EPA per play. While his accuracy is less to be desired, Williams is still capable of stretching out the secondary with his downfield throws as he ranks above league average in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In a divisional matchup against Green Bay, expect Williams to fall hard back down to reality as he faces off against a Packers front seven who ranks top-10 in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the Packers interior pressure forcing Williams to scramble out of the pocket and make plays with his legs, the quality of his throws will harshly decline which lowers his chances of moving the ball through the air.

Use WSNSPORTS at BetMGM for $1,500 Bonus

Caleb Williams Under 18.5 Pass Completions (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With Williams forced to get the ball out his hands quickly after the snap, the Bears pass catchers will have less time in their routes to create space from the Packers secondary which will drastically lessen the quality of his passing lanes. Especially with the Packers anchoring their linebackers in coverage at a very high rate as their defense ranks near the bottom of the board in Blitz Rate. When a Longest Completion market opens up, place a wager on Williams to go under his total at no lower than 34.5.

Claim $1,500 in Bonus Bets at BetMGM

Caleb Williams Over 0.5 Interception (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, the Packers extra bodies in coverage across the middle will also increase the amount of Havoc in Williams throws as they will consistently have a defender near their pass catchers at the point of contact. Factor in William’s shockingly low Completion Percentage and his inability to weave the ball through tight windows will lead to an interception.

Claim $1,500 Bonus Offer at BetMGM

Caleb Williams Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in scrambling situations, Williams has shown he is capable of extending plays with his legs as he is currently averaging 5.0 Yards per Carry. While out in the open field, Chicago’s offensive line have excelled at creating space as the Bears rank top-5 in Run Block Line Yards.

Heading into Sunday, expect Williams to consistently gash the Packers front seven as their defense ranks below league average in Run Defense PFF Grade. Especially with their secondary scrambled in coverage as this will open up wider running lanes for Williams to exploit. For some more exposure, escalator bet Williams rushing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds.

Join BetMGM and Get $1,500 First Bet Offer

Caleb Williams 2025-2026 Stats

• Passing Yards: 2,722

• Passing Touchdowns: 17

• Completion Percentage: 58.1%

• Total Interceptions: 5

• Average Yards per Throw: 6.9

• Passing Yards per Game: 226.8

• Rushing Yards: 306

• Rushing Touchdowns: 3

• Average Yards per Carry: 5.0

• Rushing Yards per Game: 25.5

More NFL Week 14 Stories

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 14

Texans vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks

Best Texans vs Chiefs Prop Bets