Ladd McConkey has four TDs over his last six games
The Jags' defense has allowed the second-most passing TDs in the league
Both teams rank in the bottom ten in red zone scoring
The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off one of their ugliest losses in recent memory, allowing 26 fourth-quarter points. Now, they’ll be heading home and looking to keep their record above .500 against a dangerous Los Angeles Chargers team. A win could help save their season, while a loss would likely drop them out of playoff contention.
Below, we will share our three favorite prop bets for this cross-country AFC battle.
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| Best Chargers vs. Jaguars Prop Bets | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey Anytime TD | +145 | CLAIM HERE |
| Justin Herbert 3+ Passing TDs | +191 | CLAIM HERE |
| Over 3.5 Field Goals | -103 | CLAIM HERE |
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We weren’t sure where Ladd McConkey would fit into this Chargers offense this season, but that is no longer the case. After a relatively quiet first four games, the second-year receiver scored in four of his next six games. He is averaging 5.8 receptions and 76.2 yards per game during that span, showing his heavy involvement.
The Jags' season continues to be plagued by their poor pass defense. They are allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game (252.9) and the second-most touchdowns (12). They cost Jacksonville a key AFC South win last week as Houston scored 26 fourth-quarter points. That was with backup quarterback Davis Mills at the helm, who completed 60% of his passes for 292 yards and two touchdowns.
While the Chargers' offensive line remains an issue with Joe Alt out, the passing game still thrived without him last week, with McConkey going for 107 yards and one TD.
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As we mentioned above, the Jags' pass defense ranks among the worst in the league. Part of that is due to the pass rush, which is tied for last in the NFL with just 12 sacks. While Alt being out will help, Jacksonville lacks the talent to replicate the Steelers' success against the Chargers last week.
The strength of the Jags’ defense is their play against the run, ranking fifth in the NFL with 91.7 rushing yards allowed per game. While their numbers against Houston were ugly, much of that came when the Jags were up by multiple scores and looking to run the clock.
LA is dealing with a banged-up offensive line and only has one healthy running back on the starting roster (as of now). Kimani Vidal has been a savior for LA, but he has also been contained by good defenses like what he’ll see tonight. That will lead to more passing, including in the red zone.
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Both offenses have some elite playmakers, but that hasn’t translated into success in the red zone in 2025.
The Jaguars and Chargers both rank in the bottom ten of the league in red zone percentage this season. According to Statmuse, the Jags (25th) are scoring a touchdown on only 51.61% of their trips, while the Chargers (26th) are close behind at 51.43%. That is leading to a ton of field goal attempts, and this Sunday Night Football matchup won’t be an exception.
The Chargers have kicked 23 field goals this season, which is tied for the highest total in the league. The Jaguars don’t have as many, but still rank in the top twelve in attempts with 20.
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