The New York Giants are in possession of the second pick in the NFL Draft
Jaxson Dart threw for 207 yards in last week’s win against Las Vegas
The Dallas Cowboys defense ranks near dead last in Def DVOA and in EPA
Even though the New York Giants have underwhelmed as a whole, their future is bright as their rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart has been able to play at a very high level when at full health. In an NFC East divisional matchup against Dallas, Dart will be able to end his year on a high note as he faces off against a Cowboys defense who has been abysmal at all three levels of the field.
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| Best Cowboys vs Giants SGP Picks | Odds | Get Up to $1,500 in Bonuses at BetMGM |
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| Leg 1: Jaxson Dart Over 203.5 Passing Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 2: Jaxson Dart Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns | +130 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 3: Theo Johnson Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +175 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 4: Full Game Total Over 51.5 | -105 | CLAIM HERE |
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Even though Jaxson Dart is not going to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award, he still has shown he is capable of turning the New York Giants franchise around as he currently ranks above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play. His rocket arm has played a major role in his success this year as Dart also resides near the top of the board in Big Time Throw Percentage.
In a divisional matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, expect Dart to continue to thrive as he faces off against a defense who ranks below league average in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the Cowboys' defensive line struggling to generate pressure, Dart’s pass catchers will have more time in the open field to break away from their corners which will lead to an uptick in his total number of explosive plays.
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When near the goal line, Dart has been efficient as he also ranks in the top half of the board in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage. With the Cowboys' back end struggling to mask their underwhelming coverage in the shortened field as their near-dead-last mark in Def EPA indicates, Dart will be able to consistently pick apart their gaps in the end zone. If you want to limit the amount of risk in your same game parlay, you can use his alternate of over 0.5 Passing Touchdown instead.
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Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, Theo Johnson has been one of Dart’s most reliable pass catchers to throw to as the Giants tight end leads the team in Red Zone Targets while converting 66.6% of his Receptions into touchdowns. With the Cowboys' secondary struggling to keep a defender on the pass catcher's hips at the point of contact, Johnson will be able to continue to create high-quality passing lanes for Dart to throw to.
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On the other side of the field, the Dallas Cowboys offense have been one of the more formidable units in the league as they head into week 18 ranked in the top-10 in Off DVOA and in EPA. The protection Dak Prescott receives from his offensive line has helped limit the amount of variance in their contests as the Cowboys' front five ranks well above league average in Pass Block Set Grade.
With the Giants' defense residing in the bottom ten in Def DVOA, Prescott will be able to keep the Cowboys offense consistently ahead of the sticks which will lead to an uptick in their total number of scoring opportunities. For some more exposure, escalator bet the full game total by placing smaller wagers on the alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
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