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Best Falcons vs. Seahawks Prop Bets: The Flailing Falcons Falling Flat

Published: December 6, 2025, 08:00 AM ET
5 min read
  • The Seahawks allow the third-fewest rushing yards per game to running backs at 66.33 yards. 

  • Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 70% of his passes against Cover-3 and Cover-6 dating back to last season. 

  • Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had eight catches or more in eight of 12 games this season. 

It's Week 14 of the 2025-26 NFL season, which also marks the final week in which there are bye weeks. The final four teams on bye are the New England Patriots, Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, and New York Giants.

That said, we have a battle of two "bird teams" this week, as the Atlanta Falcons host the Seattle Seahawks.

These are two teams going in opposite directions. The Falcons are 4-8, while the Seahawks are 9-3.

If the season were to end today, the Seahawks would be the No. 5 seed in the NFC, while the Falcons would miss the playoffs. They're behind the 7-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Panthers in the NFC South.

Additionally, the Seahawks are second in Super Bowl odds at +850, trailing the Los Angeles Rams (+460), and ahead of the Green Bay Packers (+900) and Philadelphia Eagles (+900).

Not only are the Seahawks second in Super Bowl odds, but they're second in our NFL Defense Rankings, with the Falcons at No. 17.

With all of this in mind, see my three best props for this Falcons vs. Seahawks game.

Best Falcons vs. Seahawks Prop Bets

Odds below for two props are courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up for a Fanatics account today and receive up to $2,000 in FanCash. Find more info in our Fanatics Sportsbook review.

Best Falcons vs. Seahawks Prop BetsOddsClaim Up to $2,000 in FanCash
Kirk Cousins Over 20.5 Pass Completions-125CLAIM HERE
Bijan Robinson Under 65.5 Rushing Yards-110CLAIM HERE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 6.5 Receptions-110CLAIM HERE

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Packers vs. Lions 2025 11 27 Christian Watson

Kirk Cousins Over 20.5 Pass Completions (-125) at BetMGM

Through three starts this season, Cousins has completed 21 passes or more in two games. In his last outing against the New York Jets, he went 21 of 33 for 234 yards and one touchdown. 

Now, the Falcons are hosting a Seattle Seahawks team that has one of the best offenses in the NFL, averaging 29.2 points (third), 116.9 rushing yards (18th), and 235.6 passing yards (ninth) per game. 

This is important because, as 7-point road underdogs, the Falcons will have to throw to keep pace. 

Not only that, but opposing quarterbacks are averaging 23.33 completions per game against the Seahawks. 

Finally, dating back to last season, Cousins has completed 70% of his passes versus Cover-3 and Cover-6, the two coverages the Seahawks play most often.

Bet at Fanatics and Get Up to $2,000 in FanCash

Bijan Robinson Under 65.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at Fanatics Sportsbook

Next up, I’ll take the under on Robinson’s rushing yards. 

While he’s run for 66 yards or more in four straight games, this is going to be a much tougher task. 

Not only are the Falcons a touchdown underdog, which doesn’t bode well for running the ball, but the Seahawks also allow the third-fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs at 66.33 yards. 

This season, Robinson is involved in a 65/35 timeshare, with him receiving 65% of the running back carries. 

Still, with how stout the Seahawks’ run defense has been, the somewhat of a timeshare, and being 7-point underdogs, I think Robinson will be used more so in the passing game than as a runner.

Get Up to $2,000 in FanCash at Fanatics

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 6.5 Receptions (-110) at BetMGM

As you may know, Smith-Njigba has had a phenomenal season, leading the Seahawks with a 35.9% target share. He’s caught 82 of 111 passes for 1,336 yards and seven touchdowns. 

He’s fifth in receptions and leads the league in receiving yards.

As for this reception line, he’s had seven catches or more in eight of 12 games.

While the Falcons are allowing 10.92 receptions per game to opposing wide receivers (19th), they’ve been beat up on recently, allowing 13 catches or more in each of their last three games and 16 or more catches in two of those. 

After JSN, Cooper Kupp is second on the team at a 16.2% target share. 

Expect another massive outing from JSN.

Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets at BetMGM

More NFL Week 14 Stories

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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