Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Santana, Vasquez Among the Surprising Prop Targets for Friday

We started the week well, and now we’re hoping to end the week on a high. For Friday, we’re taking an aggressive approach, with four of our five bets having plus-odds. However, we think we’ve found excellent value and the right players to target.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs. Guardians (7:10 PM, EST)

Carlos Santana Over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBI

While his overall numbers don’t look great, Santana is coming off a good series against the Nationals this week, going 5 for 14 with five runs scored and six RBI. He hits in the cleanup spot for Cleveland, so RBI opportunities are common for him with Steven Kwan, Daniel Schneemann, and Jose Ramirez hitting in front of him. In fact, betting on Santana to get an RBI in this game has good value, too.

However, this bet is a safer option but still comes with plus-odds. It’s worth noting that Santana is 2 for 4 with two extra-base hits in his career against Aaron Nola, who starts for the Phillies. That’s not much of a sample size, although it’s promising enough to think that Santana’s production will continue.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Reds vs. Astros (8:10 PM, EST)

Hunter Brown to Record Win

Brown has been the winning pitcher in five of his seven starts, so there is excellent value with the odds we’re getting for this bet. He’s pitched at least six innings in every start this season, allowing two runs or fewer in six of the seven outings. That means he’s giving himself a chance to be the winning pitcher every time out. Obviously, the Astros are in good shape to win this game, as they have a strong home record (11-7).

On the other side, the Reds are 1-6 in games Nick Martinez has started. They’ve also lost five of their last six games overall, so everything is trending toward Brown and the Astros in this matchup.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40 PM, EST)

Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 ER

Betting on a pitcher to give up two runs or fewer at Coors Field is always a dicey proposition. That’s probably a reason why we’re getting plus-odds for this bet. But Vasquez has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his seven starts this year. Outside of one bad day in Detroit, he’s been reliable.

The Rockies are also rather pitiful offensively, even at Coors Field. They scored just three total runs in a doubleheader yesterday, giving them six straight losses. Colorado’s hitters will be tired and dejected after those losses, giving Vasquez enough of an edge to hold them to two runs or fewer.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40 PM, EST)

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases

Betting on Freeman worked out earlier this week, so we’re going to target him again. For starters, he’s still red-hot, extending his hitting streak to 13 games. In those 13 games, he’s gone over 1.5 total bases eight times. That’s in part due to four home runs, three doubles, and one surprising triple during that stretch.

While he has a lefty-on-lefty matchup on Friday against Eduardo Rodriguez, Freeman is 6 for 12 with two extra-base hits in his career against Rodriguez. That makes us think that he’ll be just fine on Friday night.

Eduardo Rodriguez Over 2.5 ER

Speaking of Rodriguez, Freeman isn’t the only member of the Los Angeles lineup he’s struggled against in the past. There are plenty of right-handed batters on the Dodgers who will be happy to face Rodriguez. The lefty hasn’t had a strong start to the season, going 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA. Rodriguez has conceded at least three runs in three straight starts and five of his seven starts overall. In fairness, the Dodgers have cooled off, losing three of their last five games, after Brandon Pfaadt shut them down last night.

But that’s not enough to convince us that Rodriguez is suddenly going to get his act together against one of the best lineups in baseball.

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