NBA Finals Player Props and Best Bets: Shai, Hali Go Toe-to-Toe and a Star-Studded SGP

The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder are playing out one of the best NBA Finals in recent history, and I have the best player prop picks for Game 4 on Friday.

The Pacers dominated the fourth quarter to win Game 3, 116-107, despite being six-point underdogs on their home court. Teams that go up 2-1 in the Finals win the series 81 percent of the time, yet OKC is still heavily favored.

The Thunder were led by Jalen Williams for the first time in Game 3, as the third-year man scored 26 points. MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was held to 24 points but still averaged 32 for the series.

Here, I will break down the betting odds and share my favorite player prop picks for the Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 matchup.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Friday, June 13

Isaiah Hartenstein Under 5.5 Points

Hartenstein went under in two of three games in the series, including Games 2 and 3. He played just 19 minutes per game and came off the bench in all three outings, and he only attempted 3.3 field goals and 1.7 free throws per game.

The Thunder inserted Cason Wallace into the starting lineup ahead of Game 1 before they played one minute against Indy, which indicates that coach Mark Daigenault identified a stylistic weakness involving Hartenstein. He hasn’t given them great minutes in the last two games and should be fairly limited in his role yet again.

Tyrese Haliburton Over 5.5 Rebounds

Hali went for 10, three, and nine rebounds in three Finals games thus far, giving him an average of 7.3 boards per game. He averaged 5.9 rebounds per game during the playoff run, well above his regular-season average of 3.5, and went over in six of his last 10 outings dating back to the second round.

Haliburton isn’t necessarily a prolific rebounder, but he’s placed an increased emphasis on getting to the ball off the glass and averaged 36.3 minutes per game in the series. He’s likely to continue playing heavy minutes, especially with a chance to put his opponent down 3-1 on his home floor.

Myles Turner Under 5.5 Rebounds

Turner was reportedly battling an illness in the middle of the week and could be cardiovascularly compromised, which would be his death note in a series that has been played at a frenzied tempo. He also grabbed a total of six rebounds in his last two games and went under this line in eight of his last nine games.

The Thunder aren’t a great rebounding team, but Turner has often been deployed at areas far away from the basket to open up driving lanes for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He only had two rebounds in Game 3, and I’m going to need to see an increased commitment to the boards before I can bet his over.

Cason Wallace Under 1.5 Assists

The 21-year-old was added to the starting lineup for every gamer of the Finals, although he only played 23.5 minutes per night over the last two games and 26.7 overall. He also recorded just one assist in every single game, largely because he hasn’t done much other than space the floor.

The Thunder have put the ball in the hands of Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams, Alex Caruso, and Aaron Wiggins as their table-setters. Wallace has a low usage rate offensively and is often stuck in the corner waiting for the ball to get swung his way instead of proactively looking to create offense for himself and his teammates.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 Points

The MVP has been put through the wringer by Andrew Nembhard, his longtime friend who got the better of him in Game 3. Despite that, Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 32 points per game and went over in each of the first two games with 38 and 34 points.

The Pacers are content playing at a quick pace, which means more possessions and more transition opportunities for the Thunder. This is as close to an elimination game as a team can have while only trailing 1-2, and I expect Gilgeous-Alexander to take a ton of shots and get over the line based on pure volume.

NBA “The Finals Fellas Boost” Same-Game Parlay (+225) at Caesars

-Oklahoma City Thunder (-6) vs. Indiana Pacers

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 25+ points: SGA only scored 24 points in Game 3, which broke his streak of hitting that mark in 10 of 11 games. Expect him to take a ton of shots and to get over in a desperate situation.

• Tyrese Haliburton to record a double-double: Haliburton posted double-doubles in three of his last four games and in the Game 3 victory. He’s been impressive on the boards and is always a double-digit assist threat.

(+225) Bet $10 to Win $22.5 at Caesars