We all made it to Friday together, and to celebrate, I’ve picked my favorite NBA player props for the evening’s games.
Tyrese Maxey torched the Milwaukee Bucks for 54 points and nine assists in an overtime victory despite 32 points and 14 assists from Ryan Rollins. Nickeil Alexander-Walker wasn’t as fortunate, going for a career-high 38 points, but in a loss to the San Antonio Spurs.
The biggest game on Friday is the Western Conference showdown between the Denver Nuggets and the Houston Rockets, the two teams expected to challenge the Oklahoma City Thunder for the right to play in the NBA Finals.
Here are my favorite NBA player prop picks and bets for Friday, Nov. 21.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey Over 20.5 Points | -120 | CLAIM HERE |
| Cooper Flagg Over 16.5 Points | -118 | CLAIM HERE |
| Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 Points | -130 | CLAIM HERE |
| Stephen Curry Over 27.5 Points | -120 | CLAIM HERE |
| Naz Reid Under 2.5 Threes | -148 | CLAIM HERE |
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Giddey only scored nine points in his last game on Wednesday, crushing a streak that had seen him go over this line in five of seven prior outings. He’ll look to get back on track against the Miami Heat, who are 21st in points allowed per game.
The Heat and the Bulls play at top-three paces in the league, meaning this should be a high-possession game with lots of scoring opportunities. Giddey also trended over this line more times than not and averaged 20.8 points per game.
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Flagg only went over this line one time in his last four games, although he was on pace to get to the over in his last game, but he sat out of the fourth quarter amid a blowout. That’s unlikely to happen against the New Orleans Pelicans, who could be the worst team in the Western Conference.
Flagg is taking about 14 shots per game, so any decent level of efficiency should be enough to cash the over. The Pelicans also rank 25th in points allowed per game and 28th in opponents’ field goal percentage, giving Flagg and the Mavericks one of the easiest matchups in the league.
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The Joker has been terrific in November, averaging 34 points per game on absurd 66/48/86 shooting splits. He also went over this line in six of nine games, including a 55-point eruption last Wednesday, yet I’m going to be looking at his under on Friday.
The Rockets are not only on pace to set the NBA’s all-time record for offensive rating, but they’re also sixth in defensive rating. They’re uniquely equipped to defend Jokic with the size of Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, and Clint Capela, not to mention their length at the wing positions, plus, Jokic only had 18 points in a lone matchup with Sengun last season.
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Curry and the Golden State Warriors’ veterans took off from their game against the Miami Heat a couple of nights ago, meaning they had a full three days of rest heading into this matchup. That’s after Curry scored 34, 49, and 46 points in three of his last four times on the court.
The Dubs are preparing to play the Portland Trail Blazers, against whom Curry dropped 35 points in only 27 minutes earlier this year. The Blazers also allowed the fifth-most points per game and are 21st in three-point percentage allowed, which is a terrible sign against the greatest shooter of all time.
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The former Sixth Man of the Year has done a great job shooting the ball recently, going over this line in three straight and making five of 10 from downtown in his last game on Wednesday. He also made 2.7 threes per game on 41.5 percent shooting from range during November.
Despite Reid’s strong recent performances, he’s going to have a tough time getting to the over against this Phoenix Suns squad. The Suns are sixth in both three-pointers allowed per game and three-point percentage surrendered, and their personnel makes them equipped to handle the challenge of facing a stretch five like Reid.
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