NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Luka Doncic, Victor Wembanyama & More Picks for Tuesday, March 3

Another day on the hardwood has arrived, and I’ve made my favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Jamal Murray torched the Utah Jazz for 45 points and eight assists in a highly contested victory for the Denver Nuggets, while Alperen Sengun dropped 32 points and 13 rebounds to help lift the Houston Rockets past the Washington Wizards.

Tonight’s slate of games is headlined by the San Antonio Spurs visiting the Philadelphia 76ers, as well as the Toronto Raptors hosting the New York Knicks.

Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Tuesday, March 3.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, March 3

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Miles Bridges Over 1.5 Threes (-122) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Bridges went over in two of his last three games and made 2.1 threes per game despite only shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc. He’s still playing about 30 minutes per night, which should lead to him getting enough opportunities to go over this line.

The Dallas Mavericks were one of the best teams in the NBA when it came to defending the three-point line, but in light of their injuries and trade losses, they dropped to 17th in made threes allowed per game over their last 10 outings. The Charlotte Hornets swing the ball and play excellent offense, and I believe that Bridges can get over this number.

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Jarrett Allen Over 9.5 Rebounds (+114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

I (correctly) went against the grain and took Evan Mobley to go over his rebounding line the last time the Detroit Pistons played the Cleveland Cavaliers, and I’m reversing course here. That’s despite Allen going under this line in both previous matchups with the Pistons and collecting nine rebounds in their last meeting.

Mobley is much more prone to disappearing from the glass because of his wiry frame and inconsistent desire. Allen is more of a permanent threat on the boards and has the frame to withstand the physicality imposed by Jalen Duren, not to mention that he went over this line in nine of his last 12 contests.

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Victor Wembanyama Over 1.5 Threes (-138) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Remember when Wemby was known as a three-point sniper? Well, he went under this line in five of his last six games, only shot 30 percent from three in February, and is down to 14.3 percent (through one game) in March.

Despite his recent struggles from beyond the arc, there’s no doubt that the 7-foot-4 Frenchman can nail his jumpers when given time and space. Joel Embiid doesn’t want to be coming out to the perimeter to close down space, and I believe that extra time will give Wemby more shooting opportunities and a greater chance of going over this line.

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Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists (-118) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Doncic split the over/under at three apiece coming out of the All-Star break, although he got eight assists in two of his unders. He also recorded seven, 10 and 12 assists in his previous encounters with the New Orleans Pelicans, who have one of the worst defenses in the NBA.

The Pels played better recently, but they allowed the fourth-most assists per game over the course of the season. LeBron James found his jumper in the last couple of games, and it’s hard to believe that Austin Reaves will continue to take as few shots as he recently did.

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Jalen Green Under 18.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel Sportsbook

I will continue to be confused by Green receiving lines with numbers this high, given what he’s looked like on the court. The 24-year-old only averaged 12.9 points per game on an abysmal 36 percent shooting standard, and he went under in 10 of 12 games played this season.

The Phoenix Suns’s summer trade acquisition is only playing about 24 minutes per game and hasn’t played since last Thursday. Devin Booker is also going to be available, and players such as Collin Gillespie and Grayson Allen are ahead of him in the pecking order.

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