Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Conference Championships: Expect JSN to Round Back Into Form

• The Seattle Seahawks are currently the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba was held to 19 yards in last week’s win against San Francisco

• The Los Angeles Rams' defense continues to fall down the board in Pass Rush Win Rate

It was a shockingly poor performance from Jaxon Smith-Njigba in last week’s win against San Francisco as the Seattle Seahawks wide receiver was held to just three Receptions for 19 yards. Luckily for JSN, he will have a great opportunity to round back into form on Sunday as he faces off against the Los Angeles Rams who continue to fall down the board in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush Win Rate.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been able to build a strong case for winning the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award as he led the league in total Receiving Yards while averaging 15.1 Yards per Reception. His production has helped turn Seattle into a Super Bowl contender as the Seahawks' offense ranks near the top of the board in Off DVOA.

In an NFC West divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, expect JSN to thrive as he faces off against a defense who has recently struggled to collapse the pocket as their below league average mark in Pass Rush Win Rate indicates. With more time in the open field to operate, expect JSN to consistently break away from their coverage and create a passing lane for Sam Darnold to throw to.

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Kenneth Walker Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-160) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Rams' front seven have been far better in their efforts of stuffing the run, negative regression looms large as they will be forced to anchor their linebackers in coverage in an attempt to slow down the Seahawks' pass attack. This will lead to higher quality running lanes in the middle for Kenneth Walker to exploit which increases his chances of generating Yards After Contact when he gets past the trenches.

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RJ Harvey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent year for RJ Harvey as the Denver Broncos running back sat behind J.K. Dobbins on the depth chart for a majority of the year until he suffered an injury. While he has been able to take advantage of his heavier workload in regard to scoring, Harvey has been very inefficient as he ranks below league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.

Heading into the AFC Conference Championship, Harvey will be able to generate explosive runs at a higher rate as he faces off against a New England Patriots front seven who resides in the bottom half of the board in Run Defense PFF Grade. For some more exposure, escalator bet Harvey’s Anytime Touchdown prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals at the best available odds.

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Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+265) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Just minutes after beating Buffalo in the divisional round, horror struck when it was announced Bo Nix suffered an injury that will sideline him for the rest of the playoffs. The drop off in production to Jarrett Stidham will be sizable as Nix ended the year ranked above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play and in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.

Fortunately for Stidham, the Patriots' lack of pressure will reduce the amount of Havoc in his throws as he faces off against a defensive line who ranks near dead last in Pass Rush Line Yards. When Denver is able to get into scoring position, expect Stidham to look towards Courtland Sutton’s way as the Broncos' wide receiver leads the team in Red Zone Targets while converting over 50% of his Receptions into touchdowns.

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