Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Divisional Round: Target a Trio of Running Backs to Score

• Jacksonville averaged over six Yards per Carry in their loss to Buffalo

• The Los Angeles Rams are listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl

• The Bills' front seven ranks below league average in Run Defense Win Rate

Even though the Buffalo Bills managed to squeak out the win, their inability to stop the run was on full display as the Jacksonville Jaguars averaged over 6.0 Yards per Carry. Unfortunately for the Bills, their struggles on defense are poised to persist against the Denver Broncos as their dual-threat running back RJ Harvery is capable of burning them on the ground and through the air.

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RJ Harvey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though RJ Harvey has struggled to replicate the same success J.K. Dobbins had on the ground before he went down with an injury, the Denver Broncos running back has been able to make up for it in pass sets by averaging 7.6 Yards per Reception. When in the shortened field, Harvey has been able to continue to excel through the air as he has converted 50% of his Red Zone Receptions into touchdowns.

Heading into the divisional round, Harvey will have a great opportunity to cut through the Buffalo Bills as he faces off against a defense who ranks well below league average in Def DVOA and in Run Defense PFF Grade. For some more exposure, escalator bet Harvey’s Anytime Touchdown Scorer prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals.

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Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After playing at a high level last year, Kyren Williams has been able to build on his momentum this season as the Los Angeles Rams running back ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. His production in the backfield has played a key role in the Rams success as they head into the divisional round listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.

In a favorable matchup against the Chicago Bears, expect Williams to continue to run wild as he faces off against a front seven who resides near the bottom of the board in Run Defense Win Rate. Especially with Puka Nacua and Davante Adams pulling defensive attention away from him as this will open up higher quality running lanes in the middle for Williams to exploit.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen his odds to win the Offensive Player of the Year award skyrocket as the Seattle Seahawks receiver has been able to gash opposing secondaries on a weekly basis. Primarily in the Red Zone as Smith-Njigba has hauled in over 50% of his Red Zone Targets while converting six of his ten Receptions into touchdowns.

In an NFC West divisional matchup against San Francisco, expect Smith-Njigba to continue to thrive as he faces off against a 49ers defense who ranks below league average in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the 49ers struggling to collapse the pocket, JSN will have more time in the open field to break away from their coverage which will widen the width of Sam Darnold’s passing lanes.

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Zach Charbonnet Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Not only have the 49ers' secondary underwhelmed in coverage, but their front seven has also struggled to stop the run as they rank near dead last in Def EPA and in Run Defense Line Yards. With the Seahawks expected to get into scoring position at a higher rate, Zach Charbonnet will see an uptick in his total number of Red Zone Rush Attempts which increases his chances of finding the back of the end zone.

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