Drake Maye is listed as low as +1000 to win the NFL MVP award
The New England Patriots are in first place in the AFC East division standings
The Tennessee Titans' defense ranks below league average in Def DVOA and in EPA
After ending his rookie year on a high note, Drake Maye has managed to build on his momentum as the New England Patriots quarterback continues to climb up the oddsboard for the NFL MVP award. In Sunday’s contest against Tennessee, Maye will have a great opportunity to strengthen his claim for the award as the AFC East division leaders face off against a Titans defense who struggles in coverage.
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| Drake Maye Under 0.5 Interception | -155 | CLAIM HERE |
| Drake Maye Over 233.5 Passing Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Drake Maye Longest Rush Under 11.5 Yards | -125 | CLAIM HERE |
| Drake Maye Under 6.5 Rush Attempts | -155 | CLAIM HERE |
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Since the start of the regular season, Drake Maye has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league as he heads into week 7 ranked above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play and in PFF Grade. Even when in the face of pressure, Maye has been able to hit his receivers in stride as he also resides near the top of the board in Completion Percentage Above Expected.
In a favorable matchup against Tennessee, Maye will have a great opportunity to put together another efficient performance as he faces off against a Titans defense who ranks near dead last in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush Win Rate. With minimal pressure crashing down on him, the amount of Havoc in Maye’s throws will drastically decline which increases his chances of keeping a clean sheet.
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The Patriots additions to their offensive line have played a major role in Maye’s success this season as their front five currently ranks above league average in Pass Protection Win Rate and in PFF Grade. With his offensive line excelling in pass sets, the Patriots receivers have had more time to break away from the opposing coverage which increases the width of Maye’s passing lanes.
His offensive line’s ability to hold their ground also allows Maye to go through his progressions instead of having to throw on the run which increases the quality of his throws. For some more exposure, escalator bet Maye’s passing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
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The Titans scheme on defense hurts them in their efforts of generating pressure as they blitz their linebackers at one of the lowest rates in the league. This makes them reliant on just their front four to collapse the pocket, resulting in a low Sack Rate as well.
While their style of play on defense does hamper their ability to defend against the pass, it does help them in their efforts of stopping the run as their front seven ranks above league average in Run Defense Win Rate. Especially with their linebackers anchored across the middle, giving them more time to recognize the run and plug the gaps in the trenches.
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With Maye getting the opportunity to sit back in a clean pocket, the chances of him taking off and running in scrambling situations declines. Do not bet this prop at any lower than 6.5 as the Patriots are projected to win as the current spread implies and late game kneel downs count as a rush attempt.
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Passing Yards: 1,522
Passing Touchdowns: 10
Completion Percentage: 73.2%
Average Yards per Attempt: 8.5
Interceptions: 2
Rushing Yards: 138
Rushing Touchdowns: 2
Average Yards per Carry: 3.8
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