The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots are just about one week away from finishing their seasons with a best-of-one battle in Super Bowl LX.
While Patriots fans are no strangers to watching their team star in high-leverage matchups, their new crop of talent is completely different from the ones that rode with Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. Similarly, there’s not a single Seahawks player left from their last Super Bowl conquest in 2013.
With the stage set and both teams primed and ready, what are Super Bowl odds saying, and how do the opponents stack up against one another?

| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | -4.5 (-115) | -240 | Over 45.5 (-112) |
| New England Patriots | +4.5 (-105) | +198 | Under 45.5 (-108) |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
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It should come as no surprise that the Seahawks and the Patriots were the two most profitable teams against the spread.
The Seahawks (14-5) covered 73.7 percent of their lines and would’ve turned $772.60 profit for anyone who bet $100 on their spread (assuming -110 odds).
The Patriots (13-6-1) covered 68.4 percent of the time, which would’ve resulted in a $581.70 profit for persistent spread bettors.
Both teams also thrived contextually. The Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points, went 12-4 (75 percent) against the spread as a favorite, covering in four straight occasions.
The Patriots were 4-2 ATS (66.7 percent) as an underdog.
Favorites are 30-27-2 ATS and 37-22 straight up in 59 Super Bowls. However, underdogs covered in 14 of the last 18 Super Bowls, including all of the last five.
Just last year, the Eagles covered the Super Bowl odds line by 19.5 points, having entered as 1.5-point dogs and won 40-22.
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Note: includes regular season and playoffs.
| Stat | Seattle Seahawks | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 29.2 (second) | 27.2 (eighth) |
| Yards per game | 350.0 (seventh) | 364.2 (sixth) |
| Yards per play | 5.9 (sixth) | 5.9 (fourth) |
| Points allowed per game | 17.1 (first) | 17.3 (second) |
| Yards allowed per game | 4.7 (fourth) | 4.9 (seventh) |
| Yards allowed per play | 293.2 (seventh) | 282.4 (second) |
| Average time of possession (excluding OT) | 30:10 (14th) | 31:28 (fifth) |
| Third-down offense | 40.6% (14th) | 40.6% (13th) |
| Third-down defense | 32.3% (first) | 36.9% (ninth) |
| Turnover margin per game | +0.1 (13th) | +0.3 (eighth) |
| Sacks per game | 2.6 (10th) | 2.4 (15th) |
| Offensive EPA per play | .054 (10th) | .112 (fourth) |
| Defensive EPA per play | -0.11 (second) | -0.081 (fifth) |
| Total DVOA | 41.3% (first) | 10.6% (ninth) |
The Seahawks’ path to the Super Bowl was marked by brutal efficiency.
They demolished the San Francisco 49ers in the divisional round, 41-6, in a game that wasn’t close from the very first play, which was a 95-yard kickoff return touchdown. They then played a barnstormer in the conference championship game, during which Sam Darnold produced the best game of his career. The former third-overall pick went 25/36 for 346 yards and three touchdowns in the 31-27 victory.
The Patriots began their playoff campaign by completely overwhelming the Los Angeles Chargers, taking advantage of their miserable offensive line to hold Justin Herbert to 159 passing yards and six sacks.
They then played one of the ugliest games you’ll ever see in the playoffs in the divisional round, a 28-16 victory over the Houston Texans. There were eight combined turnovers, but Kayshon Boutte’s one-handed snag in the end zone sealed Houston’s fate.
They finally won the AFC Championship Game, 10-7, in a game that became defined by the blizzard that rolled in during the third quarter. Drake Maye and the offense were mediocre, but the defense was outstanding.
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