Steelers vs. Bengals Prop Bets TNF Week 7: Jaylen Warren Is Poised for a Big Game

• The Pittsburgh Steelers are in first place in the AFC North division standings

• Jaylen Warren averaged 4.7 yards per carry in last week’s contest against Cleveland

• The Cincinnati Bengals' front seven ranks near dead last in Run Defense Win Rate

After struggling to reach the second level of the defense earlier in the year, Jaylen Warren has started to get into a groove as he averaged 4.7 yards per carry against the vaunted Cleveland Browns defense last Sunday. With the Cincinnati Bengals' defense struggling to stop the run, expect Warren to carry over his momentum into week seven and put together another dominant performance.

Best Steelers vs. Bengals Prop Bets in TNF Week 7

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Jaylen Warren Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It has been a rough start to the year for Jaylen Warren as the Pittsburgh Steelers running back currently ranks below league average in Yards Over Expected per attempt. A stunning low level of play from Warren, especially when you factor in how well his offensive line has played as the Steelers' front five resides near the top of the board in Run Block Win Rate.

Luckily for Warren, he will have a great opportunity to generate explosive plays in an AFC North divisional matchup against Cincinnati as he faces off against a Bengals defense who ranks near dead last in Run Defense Win Rate and in Blitz Rate. With the Bengals' defensive line struggling to plug the gaps while their linebackers are anchored in coverage, expect Warren to consistently break through the trenches and generate chunks of yards with each carry.

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Aaron Rodgers Over 216.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With Warren commanding defensive attention to the middle of the field, this will help free up more space on the outside for the Steelers' pass catchers to exploit. Defending against the pass has already been a hassle for the Bengals' defense as their secondary ranks 30th in Def DVOA and 29th in Def EPA.

Their inability to collapse the pocket has played a major role in their struggles with defending against the pass as the Bengals also rank near dead last in Pass Rush Win Rate and in PFF Grade. With Aaron Rodgers in a clean pocket, the amount of Havoc in his throws will drastically decline. For some more exposure, escalator bet Rodgers passing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Kenneth Gainwell Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+195) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Warren has received a majority of the carries in the middle of the field, Kenneth Gainwell has carved out a role when inside the 20 as he has nearly matched the starting running back in total Red Zone Attempts. With the Steelers expected to get into the red zone at a more consistent rate, Gainwell will see an increase in his number of scoring opportunities.

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Joe Flacco Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After winning the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award in 2023-2024, Joe Flacco has struggled to sustain his high level of play the following two seasons and was eventually traded to the Cincinnati Bengals. In his first stint with Cincinnati, Flacco managed to throw for 219 yards and 2 touchdowns in a loss to the Green Bay Packers.

While his numbers look impressive on paper, it is worth noting Flacco was very inefficient with his throws as he only completed 64% of his passes. With the Steelers' defensive line ranking near the top of the board in Pass Rush Win Rate and in Pressure Rate, expect Flacco to struggle to move the ball down the field while being forced to throw in scrambling situations.

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