NFL Comeback Player of the Year 2024: Aaron Rodgers, Joe Burrow Headline List of Favorites

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated July 17, 2024
6 min read
  • The Comeback Player of the Year is all about a player’s story arc

  • QB Joe Flacco won Comeback Player of the Year in 2023

  • 10 of the top 11 favorites in 2024 are quarterbacks

As the 2024 NFL season approaches, oddsmakers have updated their odds to win the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

The award goes to whichever player provides the most compelling story, whether that be a return from injury, an outstanding individual season after struggles on or off the field, or a castaway that shone in a new home.

Indianapolis Colts QB Joe Flacco won the Comeback Player of the Year award in 2023 after he helped lead the Cleveland Browns to the playoffs. He beat out Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin, an overwhelming favorite who returned to the NFL field after he went into a cardiac arrest in a game against the Cincinnati Bengals during the 2022 campaign.

Here’s how the odds for the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year are shaping up.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Odds via BetMGM. Click on the odds below to place your bets at BetMGM: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!*
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PlayerPositionTeamOdds
Aaron RodgersQBNew York Jets+130
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Joe BurrowQBCincinnati Bengals+240
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Kirk CousinsQBAtlanta Falcons +500
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Anthony RichardsonQBIndianapolis Colts+700
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Nick ChubbRBCleveland Browns+1200
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Deshaun WatsonQBCleveland Browns+2000
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Daniel JonesQBNew York Giants+2500
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Justin HerbertQBLos Angeles Chargers+3000
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Kyler MurrayQBArizona Cardinals+3000
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Sam DarnoldQBMinnesota Vikings+3000
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J.K. DobbinsRBLos Angeles Chargers+3000
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Tank DellWRHouston Texans+3500
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Justin FieldsQBPittsburgh Steelers+3500
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Gardner Minshew IIQBLas Vegas Raiders+4000
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Matthew JudonOLBNew England Patriots+6000
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Jacoby BrissettQBNew England Patriots+6000
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Bradley ChubbOLBMiami Dolphins+6600
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Drew LockQBNew York Giants+8000
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Jameis WinstonQBCleveland Browns +8000
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Keaton MitchellRBBaltimore Ravens+8000
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Nfl Comeback Player Of The Year Predictions

2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Favorites

Aaron Rodgers, QB - New York Jets (+130 at BetMGM)

Rodgers suffered a torn Achilles four plays into his first season with the Jets after spending 18 years with the Green Bay Packers. Although the initial excitement slightly wore off, the Jets are still expected to contend for the AFC East title and potentially make a deep playoff run. Rodgers is only two years removed from the second of back-to-back MVP awards and has playmakers such as Garrett Wilson and Mike Williams to help him out.

Bet on Aaron Rodgers (+130) at BetMGM   

Joe Burrow, QB - Cincinnati Bengals (+240 at BetMGM)

Burrow is regarded as a top-three quarterback in the NFL when healthy, but that qualifier is his biggest obstacle. He suffered season-ending injuries in two of his four NFL seasons and is coming off a torn UCL, though he did not look great at any point in the season before the injury. He threw for 4,611 yards, 34 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions in his second season, which led to him winning the 2021 Comeback Player of the Year, meaning he’s no stranger to this position.

Bet on Joe Burrow (+240) at BetMGM   

Kirk Cousins, QB - Atlanta Falcons (+500 at BetMGM)

Cousins, like Rodgers, tore his Achilles in 2023, only he did it eight games into his season and amid potentially the best season of his career. The 35-year-old was on pace to throw for  4.963 yards, 38 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, but he now has to overcome the most devastating injury for professional athletes at a time when many players are planning to retire. He’s also entering his first season with a new team, the Falcons. 

Bet on Kirk Cousins (+500) at BetMGM   

2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Dark Horses

Justin Fields, QB - Pittsburgh Steelers (+3500 at BetMGM)

Fields caught a lot of flack during his three-year stint with the Chicago Bears since he failed to transform them into a winning team as he, as a first-round pick, was supposed to. However, the Bears went 5-8 when he was on the field, and he produced 20 total touchdowns and nine interceptions during that time. He’ll get a chance for a fresh start with the Steelers and will have an even more compelling case if he can steal the starting job from Russell Wilson.

Bet on Justin Fields (+3500) at BetMGM    

Jameis Winston, QB - Cleveland Browns (+8000 at BetMGM)

Winston has an opportunity to do exactly what Flacco did last year, which is either fill in or take over for the struggling Deshaun Watson and perform for a Browns team that has elite talent at most positions on the field. The former first-overall pick is only 30 years old and threw for 5,109 yards, 33 touchdowns, and 30 interceptions the last time he got a consistent workload.

Bet on Jameis Winston (+8000) at BetMGM 

NFL Comeback Player of the Year History

YearPlayerPositionTeam
2023Joe FlaccoQuarterbackCleveland Browns
2022Geno SmithQuarterbackSeattle Seahawks
2021Joe BurrowQuarterbackCincinnati Bengals
2020Alex SmithQuarterbackWashington Football Team
2019Ryan TannehillQuarterbackTennessee Titans
2018Andrew LuckQuarterbackIndianapolis Colts
2017Keenan AllenWide receiverLos Angeles Chargers
2016Jordy NelsonWide receiverGreen Bay Packers
2015Eric BerrySafetyKansas City Chiefs
2014Rob GronkowskiTight endNew England Patriots
2013Philip RiversQuarterbackSan Diego Chargers
2012Peyton ManningQuarterbackDenver Broncos
2011Matthew StaffordQuarterbackDetroit Lions
2010Michael VickQuarterbackPhiladelphia Eagles
2009Tom BradyQuarterbackNew England Patriots
2008Chad PenningtonQuarterbackMiami Dolphins
2007Greg EllisDefensive endDallas Cowboys
2006Chad PenningtonQuarterbackNew York Jets
2005Steve Smith
Teddy Bruschi
Wide receiver
Linebacker
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
2004Drew BreesQuarterbackSan Diego Chargers
2003Jon KitnaQuarterbackCincinnati Bengals
2002Tommy MaddoxQuarterbackPittsburgh Steelers
2001Garrison HearstRunning backSan Francisco 49ers
2000Joe JohnsonDefensive endNew Orleans Saints
1999Bryant YoungDefensive tackleSan Francisco 49ers
1998Doug FlutieQuarterbackBuffalo Bills
1966Dick BassFullbackLos Angeles Rams
1965John BrodieQuarterbackSan Francisco 49ers
1964Lenny MooreHalfbackBaltimore Colts
1963Jim MartinKickerBaltimore Colts

NFL Comeback Player of the Year FAQ

Who Won NFL Comeback Player of the Year in 2023?

How is the NFL Comeback Player of the Year winner decided?

When was the first NFL Comeback Player of the Year honor awarded?

Has anyone won NFL Comeback Player of the Year more than once?

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Grant Mitchell

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
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