NFL Comeback Player of the Year Predictions, Odds, Best Bets 2022

  • Titans RB Derrick Henry is back (again) after fully recovering from a Jones fracture
  • Saints QB Jameis Winston hopes to have a big season after tearing his ACL last year
  • WR Michael Thomas’s much anticipated return could be just what his Saints need

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Odds taken June 25 2022 from DraftKings. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

Player/Position/Team Odds
Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans +300
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Jameis Winston, QB, New Orleans Saints +550
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Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints +700
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Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers +750
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Daniel Jones, QB, New York Giants +800
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Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers +1000
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NFL Comeback Player of the Year Pick

If Thomas is truly healthy again, expect to see his numbers lift a Saints team in need of some WR help.

Michael Thomas, Saints WR (+700)

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year

As prestigious as the NFL’s Comeback Player of the Year Award is, receiving it means a player has been through injury hell and back, so it becomes a dubious honor at best that most football stars try to avoid, these men bravely facing the possibility of reinjury just to return to pro football.

For 2022, Titans RB Derrick Henry is back (again) after fully recovering from the Jones fracture he suffered last year in Week 8, same as Saints QB Jameis Winston who hopes to have a big season after tearing his ACL last year, two serious injuries that might keep lesser players down.

Another Saint who could come marching back is WR Michael Thomas, his much anticipated return could be just what New Orleans needs to get back in the hunt, so here we take a closer look at the odds and predictions of who might be the NFL’s 2022 Comeback Player of the Year.

Good luck – win big!

Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans (+300)

Up until the middle of last season, Tennessee RB Derrick Henry seemed like an ironman player who missed few games to injury, but the Offensive Player of the Year and rushing yards leader in 2020 would have his 2021 season cut short in Week 8 when he suffered a Jones fracture.

That kept him out of the mix until the postseason when Henry returned and put up decent numbers against the Cincinnati Bengals in a Divisional Playoffs loss where he carried the ball 20 times for 62 yards and a touchdown, a remarkable comeback already from a serious injury.

Now the oddsmakers see Henry as the favorite to win this CPOY Award since he plays such an integral part of the Titans offense, that rushing attack key to setting up the second half pass game, a two-fisted game plan that will be far better off with Henry once again in the backfield.

Jameis Winston, QB, New Orleans Saints (+550)

After being horse-tackled in Week 8 last season, New Orleans Saints QB Jameis Winston had to leave the game with a knee injury, a torn ACL with MCL damage, it turned out, enough to end his season and force him to have surgery and all the offseason rehab that comes with it.

By all accounts, Winston should be good to go in 2022, and given that he and team agreed to a two-year, $28 million contract extension in March, it looks like he is set to start under center in New Orleans where he started 7 games last season and threw for 14 TDs with just 3 INTs.

That was a clear sign of a turnaround for the hurler who led the league in interceptions in 2019 with 30 of them with the Buccaneers, a stigma Winston is no doubt ready to erase with a comeback season in 2022 that will most likely include a healthy WR Michael Thomas.

Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints (+700)

The ankle injury that has kept New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas on the sidelines first happened in Week 1 of the 2020 season, then after a delayed surgery to fix several ligaments, the 2x First-team All Pro and former Offensive Player of the Year missed all of last season.

Combine a missing Thomas with an injured Jameis Winston and what you get is the last ranked passing attack in the league last year, a group that averaged just 187 yards through the air per game, a weakness that will no doubt be fixed with the return of both of those playmakers.

Thomas will only win the CPOY Award with the help of whoever is under center for the Saints in 2022, so if QB Winston also impresses upon his healthy return, the two could play critical roles in each other’s comebacks, a potentially deadly combination if they are indeed ready to return.

Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers (+750)

It is difficult to believe that Carolina Panthers dual threat RB Christian McCaffrey is just 26 years old, the former Stanford star a mainstay in the NFL now, his ability to evade tackles while running with and catching footballs as thrilling to watch as it is valuable to his team.

Last season in Week 3, McCaffrey suffered a hamstring injury that eventually sent him to the IR and after he was reactivated in Week 9, he injured his ankle in Week 12 and that ended his season, one his Panthers ended up going 5-12 in and they came in last in the NFC South.

The Panthers are trying to figure out if QB Sam Darnold or rookie Matt Corral will be the starter under center, so it would help either of them if McCaffrey can return this season and stay healthy for the duration, an offense that depends on his ability as a dual threat back.

Daniel Jones, QB, New York Giants (+800)

This becomes a critical season for the New York Giants QB Daniel Jones, his return after a serious neck injury last season in Week 12 the focus as this fourth-year pro hurler attempts to help lift his Giants up after their 4-13 season and last place finish in the NFC East in 2021.

Complicating matters for Jones is the reluctance of NY’s front office to sign him for a major deal, the Giants declining Jones’ fifth-year option which will make him a free agent after this season, more reasons to come back from this injury and prove he has what it takes to play in the NFL.

As a quarterback, Danny ‘Dimes’ Jones has struggled with turnovers, throwing 29 interceptions in the 38 NFL games in which he’s played despite a respectable career completion percentage of 62.8 in the league, the former Senior Bowl MVP now ready for an impressive NFL comeback.

Who Was the NFL Comeback Player of the Year in 2021?

In 2021, the NFL’s Comeback Player of the Year was Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who in Week 12 of his rookie 2020 season tore the ACL and MCL in his left knee, among other damage to his PCL and meniscus, ending his NFL debut season on a scary negative note.

Burrow’s comeback was historic, bringing his Bengals to a 10-6 season and an AFC North Championship as well as an eventual trip to the Super Bowl for the first time in Cincinnati since 1988, though that Big Game and the latest one were lost, the Lombardi Trophy still a goal.

In his 2nd NFL season, Burrow led the league in completion percentage (70.4), in yards per attempt (8.9), adjusted yards per attempt (9.0) and also in total sacks (51) and sack yardage (370), a young QB who completed 366 passes for 4,611 yards and 34 TDs with 14 INTs.

How is the Winner of the Award Decided?

A nationwide panel of fifty members of the AP who cover the NFL on a regular basis selects the winner of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, and then they cast ballots at the end of the season before the playoffs.

The league will announce the winner at the NFL Honors Presentation, which is held the night before the Super Bowl is played.

This season, the presentation will happen on Saturday, February 11, 2023, and as usual, it will not be televised for the public, but chances are the names of the winners will leak out so keep checking back for all the latest news and updates.

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Mike Lukas

Expert on NFL

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]