NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds & Predictions: Mahomes' Return and Top Contenders

Updated: July 21, 2026, 06:51 AM ET
7 min read

Few honors in professional sports carry as much narrative weight and emotional resonance as the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award.

Designed to celebrate perseverance, this award honors athletes who overcome severe injuries, illness, or significant career adversity to reclaim their status among the league's elite.

While marquee markets like Super Bowl odds and NFL MVP odds often dominate season headlines, handicapping this market offers a unique betting dynamic that requires balancing raw statistical impact with compelling human story arcs.

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

The following odds have been taken from some of the best US online sportsbooks available today.

PlayerFanDuel OddsBetMGM OddsCaesars Odds
Patrick Mahomes+200+185+200
Jayden Daniels+430+400+550
Kyler Murray+600+550+550
Aaron Donald+1100N/A+850
Daniel Jones+1500+2200+2200
Micah Parsons+1900+1200+1600
George Kittle+2700+3000+3000
Nick Bosa+3000+2500+3000
Malik Nabers+3000+1300+2200
Travis Hunter+4000+3500+4000
The odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Follow our link to find the best NFL betting sites and grab some of the latest NFL promo codes and bonuses along the way.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winner - My Pick

Beyond raw statistics, winning NFL Comeback Player of the Year requires a story of resilience that captures the hearts of voters and fans alike. After weighing returning talents across the league, one elite playmaker offers the ideal blend of a triumphant narrative and explosive on-field potential.

Patrick Mahomes (+200) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is my favorite to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, largely due to his elite pedigree and the compelling narrative surrounding his return.

After suffering a season-ending torn ACL and LCL late in the 2025 season - which caused Kansas City to miss the postseason for the first time in a decade - Mahomes holds the top spot on odds boards around +185 to +200.

Given the historical tendency of voters to favor high-profile quarterbacks bouncing back from major injuries, Mahomes possesses both the clearest statistical upside and the strongest storyline to claim the honor as he leads the Chiefs back into AFC contention.

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Nfl Comeback Player Of The Year Predictions

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winner History

A look back at the history of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award reveals a compelling chronicle of resilience, heavily dominated by star quarterbacks who have engineered dramatic career revivals.

By examining this historical list of past winners, fans and bettors can identify the distinct patterns - such as a strong voter preference for high-profile signal-callers bouncing back from severe injuries - that consistently shape this unique futures market year after year.

Check out the table below and see who won the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award in the past 15 years.

SeasonWinnerTeamPosition
2025Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ersRB
2024Joe Burrow (2)Cincinnati BengalsQB
2023Joe FlaccoCleveland BrownsQB
2022Geno SmithSeattle SeahawksQB
2021Joe BurrowCincinnati BengalsQB
2020Alex SmithWashington Football TeamQB
2019Ryan TannehillTennessee TitansQB
2018Andrew LuckIndianapolis ColtsQB
2017Keenan AllenLos Angeles ChargersWR
2016Jordy NelsonGreen Bay PackersWR
2015Eric BerryKansas City ChiefsS
2014Rob GronkowskiNew England PatriotsTE
2013Philip RiversSan Diego ChargersQB
2012Peyton ManningDenver BroncosQB

How to Bet on the NFL Comeback Player of the Year

There’s no league more popular for American sports bettors than the NFL. Every sportsbook should have a section dedicated to the NFL, and the Comeback Player of the Year odds, if available, should be listed under the “Futures” section. 

Futures bets are different from major markets in that they pertain to long-term events. In the case of the Comeback Player of the Year, the winner won’t be announced until the year-end player awards.

Certain states do not allow individual player futures bets, which would eliminate them from providing odds on the NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Check your state’s rules and sportsbook to see if your state qualifies.

How to Read NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Reading Comeback Player of the Year odds is the same as reading odds in any other market. Odds values preceded by a + indicate that a bettor will win the listed amount with a $100 wager - for example, a winning wager at +400 odds will result in a $400 profit for a $100 bet.

Conversely, odds values led by a - imply that a bettor must risk the listed amount to win $100. So, -550 odds suggest a bettor must wager $550 to profit $100.

Where futures odds can be different from limited-outcome markets is that the favorite is not always or even usually indicated by a negative odds value. The more candidates there are, the more likely it is that all outcomes have positive odds, especially early in the NFL season.

Where to Bet on NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winner

Shopping for the best odds across major sportsbooks is essential when placing futures wagers on NFL awards like Comeback Player of the Year. Here is how three of the top platforms stack up for this market:

  • FanDuel Sportsbook: Celebrated for its industry-leading mobile interface, FanDuel consistently posts early futures lines with user-friendly market navigation. It is an ideal platform for catching longshot comeback candidates before early-season storylines drive up their odds. New users who sign up via our link can claim the welcome offer: Bet $5, Get up to $1,000 in Bet Resets. Find more info on this offer in our detailed overview of the FanDuel promo code.

  • BetMGM Sportsbook: Known as the "King of Sportsbooks," BetMGM offers deep futures markets with highly competitive pricing on award races. Their platform frequently provides dynamic line updates and seamless integration with MGM Rewards, making it a favorite for seasoned futures bettors. Use our BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS to sign up for an account and claim your bonus: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

  • Caesars Sportsbook: Caesars stands out by offering substantial betting limits, frequent daily odds boosts, and an exceptionally generous rewards program. If you are looking to place a high-stakes wager or capitalize on promotional profit boosts for NFL award markets, Caesars is a top destination. New users can claim the latest promo offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings 10x after signing up with our Caesars Sportsbook promo code WSNDYW.

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year FAQ

Who won the 2025 Comeback Player of the Year?

What is the Comeback Player of the Year awarded for?

Has a player won the Comeback Player of the Year Award more than once?

Who won the first Comeback Player of the Year award?

Which position won the most Comeback Player of the Year awards?

Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: grant.mitchell@wsn.com
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