Updated: Dec. 18, 2024, 10:58 AM ET
6 min read
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Joe Burrow is favored to win the award for the second time in his career
Tim Patrick, who did not play for two years, is soaring in odds
Kirk Cousins’ odds plummeted over the last month
America loves a good story of tragedy and personal triumph. The NFL’s equivalent to that is the Comeback Player of the Year award, and the odds to win the 2024-25 trophy are still in constant limbo.
Kirk Cousins went from looking like a lock for the award to being benched for rookie Michael Penix Jr., while Tim Patrick has suddenly made an appearance near the top of the odds board.
Here’s a full look at the odds to win the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, the top candidates, and a strong dark horse pick.
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to place your bets at FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.
| Player | Position | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | QB | Cincinnati Bengals | -700 BET HERE |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | Los Angeles Chargers | +1100 BET HERE |
| Sam Darnold | QB | Minnesota Vikings | +1800 BET HERE |
| Tim Patrick | WR | Detroit Lions | +1800 BET HERE |
| Cameron Heyward | DT | Pittsburgh Steelers | +3100 BET HERE |
| Damar Hamlin | S | Buffalo Bills | +3500 BET HERE |
| Kyler Murray | QB | Arizona Cardinals | +3500 BET HERE |
| Christian Gonzalez | CB | New England Patriots | +5000 BET HERE |
| Anthony Richardson | QB | Indianapolis Colts | +5000 BET HERE |
| Justin Herbert | QB | Los Angeles Chargers | +6000 BET HERE |
| Russell Wilson | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers | +7500 BET HERE |
| Mark Andrews | TE | Baltimore Ravens | +12000 BET HERE |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | New York Jets | +20000 BET HERE |
| Tank Dell | WR | Houston Texans | +25000 BET HERE |
| Joey Bosa | DE | Los Angeles Chargers | +25000 BET HERE |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | Minnesota Vikings | +25000 BET HERE |
| Grady Jarrett | DE | Atlanta Falcons | +25000 BET HERE |
| Matthew Judon | OLB | Atlanta Falcons | +25000 BET HERE |
Burrow clearly had the best season of anyone on this list. He leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns, threw 36 TDs to eight interceptions, and is third in QBR. His Bengals are only 6-8 and are likely to miss the playoffs, but this has been the best season of his career, and it came right after a wrist injury prematurely ended his 2023 campaign.
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Dobbins rebounded from a torn Achilles to take over the lead role in the Chargers’ backfield and ran for 766 yards in 11 games (69.6 yards per game). He also scored eight times and helped steady a Chargers offense that appears to be on its way to making the playoffs. Unfortunately, he’s now on injured reserve, so he won’t have the opportunity to bolster his case.
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Darnold’s story is not one of overcoming injury, but of digging himself out of a pit and saving his career. Many believed that the third-overall pick was soon going to be out of the league, but instead, he’s fifth in passing touchdowns, sixth in passing yards, and the quarterback of the 12-2 Vikings. He played well in matchups against contending teams and has given Minnesota a headache determining who the future of their QB room is.
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Patrick, 31, missed the 2022 and 2023 seasons with a torn ACL and a torn Achilles. He joined the Lions as an afterthought but has taken on an important role in recent weeks, scoring three touchdowns in his last two games. He only has 31 receptions for 379 yards and three scores for the year as a whole, but he’s growing in importance at the most important time of the year.
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The voters are still going to try to give the award to Hamlin if they can, and for good reason after they botched last year’s vote and gave the trophy to Joe Flacco. Hamlin is no longer just a feel-good story, though, as he racked up 58 solo tackles, five pass break-ups, and two interceptions from safety. The Bills are also 11-3, won the AFC East, and beat contenders such as the Chiefs and the Lions within the last month.
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| Year | Player | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Joe Flacco | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 2022 | Geno Smith | Quarterback | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2021 | Joe Burrow | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2020 | Alex Smith | Quarterback | Washington Football Team |
| 2019 | Ryan Tannehill | Quarterback | Tennessee Titans |
| 2018 | Andrew Luck | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2017 | Keenan Allen | Wide receiver | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2016 | Jordy Nelson | Wide receiver | Green Bay Packers |
| 2015 | Eric Berry | Safety | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2014 | Rob Gronkowski | Tight end | New England Patriots |
| 2013 | Philip Rivers | Quarterback | San Diego Chargers |
| 2012 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Denver Broncos |
| 2011 | Matthew Stafford | Quarterback | Detroit Lions |
| 2010 | Michael Vick | Quarterback | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2009 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
| 2008 | Chad Pennington | Quarterback | Miami Dolphins |
| 2007 | Greg Ellis | Defensive end | Dallas Cowboys |
| 2006 | Chad Pennington | Quarterback | New York Jets |
| 2005 | Steve Smith Teddy Bruschi | Wide receiver Linebacker | Carolina Panthers New England Patriots |
| 2004 | Drew Brees | Quarterback | San Diego Chargers |
| 2003 | Jon Kitna | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2002 | Tommy Maddox | Quarterback | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 2001 | Garrison Hearst | Running back | San Francisco 49ers |
| 2000 | Joe Johnson | Defensive end | New Orleans Saints |
| 1999 | Bryant Young | Defensive tackle | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1998 | Doug Flutie | Quarterback | Buffalo Bills |
| 1966 | Dick Bass | Fullback | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1965 | John Brodie | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1964 | Lenny Moore | Halfback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1963 | Jim Martin | Kicker | Baltimore Colts |
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Grant Mitchell
Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host
| Email: | [email protected] |
|---|---|
| Nationality: | American |
| Education: | Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics |
| Favourite Sportsbook: | Caesars Sportsbook |
| Favourite Casino: | FanDuel Casino |
| Experience: | 4 years |
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