Written by:
Grant Mitchell
Fact-checked by:
James Whitelock
Updated October 7, 2024
6 min read
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Kirk Cousins and Joe Burrow both set career bests last week
Aaron Rodgers fell significantly from a minus-money favorite
Five of the top six favorites are quarterbacks
2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds are tightening up after yet another dramatic week of NFL action in Week 5.
Aaron Rodgers fell from -120 to +300 after a three-interception game in a loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins continued his climb and is now tied for the lead in odds.
Here, we will take a look at the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, discuss our favorite picks, and more.
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to place your bets at FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins*
| Player | Position | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | New York Jets | +300 BET HERE |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | Atlanta Falcons | +300 BET HERE |
| Sam Darnold | QB | Minnesota Vikings | +460 BET HERE |
| Joe Burrow | QB | Cincinnati Bengals | +650 BET HERE |
| Damar Hamlin | S | Buffalo Bills | +1100 BET HERE |
| Kyler Murray | QB | Arizona Cardinals | +1100 BET HERE |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | Los Angeles Chargers | +1100 BET HERE |
| Nick Chubb | RB | Cleveland Browns | +2000 BET HERE |
| Daniel Jones | QB | New York Giants | +2400 BET HERE |
| Anthony Richardson | QB | Indianapolis Colts | +5000 BET HERE |
| Justin Fields | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers | +7500 BET HERE |
| Andy Dalton | QB | Carolina Panthers | +7500 BET HERE |
| Christian Gonzalez | CB | New England Patriots | +7500 BET HERE |
| Justin Herbert | QB | Los Angeles Chargers | +10000 BET HERE |
| Joey Bosa | DE | Los Angeles Chargers | +10000 BET HERE |
| Trevon Diggs | CB | Dallas Cowboys | +15000 BET HERE |
| Tank Dell | WR | Houston Texans | +15000 BET HERE |
| Matthew Judon | OLB | Atlanta Falcons | +15000 BET HERE |
Rodgers returning to the field at 40 years old and one year after tearing his Achilles is a remarkable achievement. That said, he has not played well and just played his worst game of the year, going 29/54 for 244 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions in a 23-17 loss to the Vikings. He’s 21st in QBR and the Jets are 2-3 and +340 to win the AFC East.
Cousins set a career-high with 509 passing yards to go with four touchdowns and a pick in a 36-30 overtime win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. He also tore his Achilles last year and, at 36 years old, looks more comfortable in the pocket with every passing week. Atlanta leads the NFC South and is sixth in odds to win the NFC Championship, and COusins is fifth in passing yards and passing touchdowns.
The former third-overall pick-turned-castaway appears to have found a home with the 5-0 Minnesota Vikings. He did not play well against the Jets but has 11 touchdowns (second-most) to just four interceptions and outperformed Rodgers and Cousins in average QBR (58.6 - 14th). His Comeback Player of the Year odds case is more similar to that of a “Most Improved Player” since he isn’t fighting back from injury, but he’s exceeded all expectations thus far.
Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel
The Cardinals upset the 49ers as a 7.5-point underdog last week, moving them to 2-3 and one game out of first in the NFC West. Murray had two total touchdowns and 278 total yards and now ranks sixth in QBR (66.4) for the year. He hasn’t put up many jaw-dropping numbers but has produced highlight plays, ranks well in several categories, and could gain serious steam if the Cardinals are able to take control of the division.
Deshaun Watson’s historically poor performances have resulted in the Browns ranking dead last in EPA per play and yards per play, 30th in scoring, and 28th in average scoring margin. An injured offensive line and drops from receivers also haven’t helped as Cleveland currently has one of the worst offenses in NFL history. Chubb hasn’t played a game yet but will be back soon and can become a viable candidate if his excellence revitalizes a team that is stuck in the mud.
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| Year | Player | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Joe Flacco | Quarterback | Cleveland Browns |
| 2022 | Geno Smith | Quarterback | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2021 | Joe Burrow | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2020 | Alex Smith | Quarterback | Washington Football Team |
| 2019 | Ryan Tannehill | Quarterback | Tennessee Titans |
| 2018 | Andrew Luck | Quarterback | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2017 | Keenan Allen | Wide receiver | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2016 | Jordy Nelson | Wide receiver | Green Bay Packers |
| 2015 | Eric Berry | Safety | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2014 | Rob Gronkowski | Tight end | New England Patriots |
| 2013 | Philip Rivers | Quarterback | San Diego Chargers |
| 2012 | Peyton Manning | Quarterback | Denver Broncos |
| 2011 | Matthew Stafford | Quarterback | Detroit Lions |
| 2010 | Michael Vick | Quarterback | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2009 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
| 2008 | Chad Pennington | Quarterback | Miami Dolphins |
| 2007 | Greg Ellis | Defensive end | Dallas Cowboys |
| 2006 | Chad Pennington | Quarterback | New York Jets |
| 2005 | Steve Smith Teddy Bruschi | Wide receiver Linebacker | Carolina Panthers New England Patriots |
| 2004 | Drew Brees | Quarterback | San Diego Chargers |
| 2003 | Jon Kitna | Quarterback | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2002 | Tommy Maddox | Quarterback | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 2001 | Garrison Hearst | Running back | San Francisco 49ers |
| 2000 | Joe Johnson | Defensive end | New Orleans Saints |
| 1999 | Bryant Young | Defensive tackle | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1998 | Doug Flutie | Quarterback | Buffalo Bills |
| 1966 | Dick Bass | Fullback | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1965 | John Brodie | Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers |
| 1964 | Lenny Moore | Halfback | Baltimore Colts |
| 1963 | Jim Martin | Kicker | Baltimore Colts |
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Grant Mitchell
Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host
| Email: | [email protected] |
|---|---|
| Nationality: | American |
| Education: | Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics |
| Favourite Sportsbook: | Caesars Sportsbook |
| Favourite Casino: | FanDuel Casino |
| Experience: | 4 years |
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