WNBA Player Props and Best Bets: Exercise Caution With Paige Bueckers

With the great players scheduled to take the court in one of three WNBA games tonight, bettors will find plenty of enticing WNBA player props at their favorite sportsbooks. However, while there are many great options, only a select few will make our ‘Best Bets’ list.

Will Napheesa Collier have another big game against Dallas? Maybe Paige Bueckers will step up her game against the Lynx this time. Perhaps one of Washington’s star rookies has an enticing market or two, or Kelsey Plum will go off again. 

Best WNBA Prop Bets for Wednesday, May 21

Paige Bueckers, UNDER 15.5 Points

The most challenging part about betting is separating your emotions from your decisions. Do I want to see Paige score over 15.5 points? Absolutely! She’s the No. 1 draft pick and a future face of the league. She rebounded from her ten-point night in the opener with 19 vs. Seattle.

But Minnesota is a solid defensive team; Seattle is not.  She will probably have a much better game than she did in the opener. However, for now, I have more confidence in Minnesota’s defense than in Bueckers and the Dallas offense.

Paige Bueckers, OVER 4.5 Rebounds

She pulled down seven the first time against the Lynx and followed that up with a six-board night against Seattle. In college, she wasn’t known as a rebounder (averaged 4.4 per game in her final season; 4.7 per game in her career).

But with the pace of play the Wings like to maintain, the opportunity to pull down six or seven a night will certainly be there. So, while her total is so low, I’m going to have to go with the OVER here.

Napheesa Collier, OVER 24.5 Points

At first, I was going to play this one cautiously and bet the market at bet365, where it’s 23.5 points at -115. Why? Because her 23-point total vs. Los Angeles gave me reason to pause. But then I noticed she hit 8-8 free throws against Dallas but only 1-1 vs. the Sparks.

There is no guarantee that she’ll get 8-10 free throws, but she is an offensive force going up against a lackluster defense. If it had minus money odds, I’d probably skip it, but the plus money odds give it value.

Courtney Williams, OVER 13.5 Points

Williams exploded for 25 in the opener vs. Dallas, hitting ten of 15 shots, including a pair of threes and three free throws. It was definitely a change of pace from last season when she averaged 11.1 points per game and made roughly five of 11 shots a game.

She came down from her high after the Dallas game with a 13-point performance against Seattle. The difference? Alana Smith was in the lineup (and went 7-10 for 18 points), but Williams only hit five of 19 shots.

Now, she will probably not score 25 again, but against an easy Dallas defense, she’ll clear 14 points.

Alyssa Thomas, UNDER 34.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

If this were midseason and Thomas had established chemistry with her team, I’d be more inclined to take the OVER. But I don’t trust her to score 20 points for a second consecutive game (did so just twice last season), and I think her assist number will be low.

Kelsey Plum, OVER 22.5 Points

Plum may not hit 11 of 19 shots (4-6 from three-point range) like she did vs. the Valkyries (for 37 points), but she’ll do better than the 5-14 night (3-6 from three-point range) she had against the Lynx (for 18 points)—somewhere around 25 points.