WNBA Player Props and Best Bets: Caitlin Clark vs. the WNBA’s Worst Defense

WNBA Player Props fans have a pair of games on the schedule for their betting pleasure tonight: Indiana vs. Connecticut and Washington vs. Los Angeles. With these matchups and some of the players involved, it should be an excellent night for betting on WNBA Player Props.

Indiana scored 102 points in their last game, but they play the worst defense in the league tonight. Does that mean they’ll do even better, and you should lean towards the OVER on Fever point totals? Let’s discuss the answer to that question and more.

Best WNBA Prop Bets for Tuesday, July 15

The odds for today’s WNBA props can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up now, place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook, and receive $150 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

Here are some of our favorite prop bets from tonight’s games.

Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun

Caitlin Clark, O/U 16.5 Points (-128) / (-102) at FanDuel

• Caitlin Clark, O/U 2.5 at (+110) / (-146) at FanDuel

• Caitlin Clark, OVER 8.5 Assists at (-122) at FanDuel

I thought Clark would have her breakout game Sunday vs. a terrible Dallas defense. But today she is playing the league’s worst defense this season, the Sun (88.1 points per game allowed). If she is ever going to have such a game, it will be tonight.

If you believe that to be the case, bet the OVER on her points and made threes TOTALS. Even the best players have cold spells, but they also break out of them with big games. This could easily be the game she needs.

But at the same time, it might not be. She’s been ice-cold since her return, going 13-for-41 from the field and 5-for-19 from three-point range. I’m going with the OVERS because the Sun plays terrible defense; Clark will wake up from her slump.

As for her assists TOTAL, she’s gone OVER 8.5 in nine of the 12 games she has played in, including five of the last six. She only had six in the one game she was in vs. the Sun (June 17). But that is the one part of her game that is working; that she has complete confidence in.

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Kelsey Mitchell, OVER 17.5 (-128) at FanDuel

I went back and forth on whether to go with Mitchell’s point TOTAL or Aliyah Boston’s. Both have gone OVER the mark in four of their last six games, but with Clark back, there will be fewer shots to go around.

Since Mitchell is the more prolific scorer compared to Boston, I’m going with Mitchell to get (and make) enough shots to go OVER her TOTAL.

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Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Shakira Austin, UNDER 24.5 Pts + Reb +Ast (-130) at FanDuel

The team will be more focused on getting Kiki Iriafen, Sonia Citron, and Brittney Sykes the ball; Austin is not a priority in the offense.  But the Sparks are one of the lesser defenses in the league. So, maybe she scores OVER her point total (13.5 points) anyway.

I don’t know, but I do know she averages 6.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game (7.0 and 3.3 in July). She may very well match those numbers (7 and 3), but the problem will be her point total. Austin will need 14, but I don’t think she’ll get the shots she needs to get it.

• Kelsey Plum, OVER 17.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

• Dearica Hamby, OVER 15.5 Points (-106) at FanDuel

More often than not, Plum will take 13+ shots in a game and between them and foul shots, she’d score OVER 17.5 points. As long as she takes those shots, she’ll go OVER her point total against this defense.

But if you only want to bet on one player’s point total, consider Dearica Hamby instead. She takes fewer shots, but she makes over 50% of them (Plum averages 39.1%). In six of her last seven games, she has shot over 50% from the field and scored OVER 15.5 points in five. 

Washington has a decent defense, and I expect them to win the game, but I do not think these point totals are asking too much from Plum and Hamby, no matter who wins the game.

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