We have two elimination games tonight as Minnesota and New York take on Golden State and Phoenix. There will be some suspense leading into the Liberty vs. Mercury game, with Breanna Stewart a game-time decision, which makes for an interesting night for WNBA Player Props.
If she can’t go, New York’s defense takes a hit, making Phoenix props more enticing, and other Liberty players will need to pick up the slack. As for Minnesota vs. Golden State, the Lynx dominated Game One. Will they do it again and finish the series off on their own court?
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In Sunday’s game, she had 14 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists, putting her UNDER this TOTAL for the night (and she had the benefit of an overtime period). Thomas has actually finished UNDER this TOTAL in her last five games and in seven of her last eight.
Sunday’s game was a defensive battle. There is no reason to think this one will be different. If Breanna Stewart can’t play, that will be a blow to the Liberty. But they have enough depth to make up for it. Regardless of Stewart’s status, I like the trend to continue with Thomas here.
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UNDER 14.5 Points at -114 at FanDuel
During the season, Sabally averaged 16.3 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. On Sunday, she had nine points and eight rebounds. As for her point TOTAL, she finished UNDER it in seven of her last eight games and in her last three vs. New York.
I like the UNDER for her point total, but she finished OVER it in 23 of 40 games. But that’s where the combo comes in handy since adding a category gives you a little more breathing room. She has finished UNDER or the combo TOTAL in seven of her last eight games, too.
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In those 13 games the Liberty have already had without Stewart, Jones stepped her game up a little and averaged 16.3 points a game. Otherwise, she averaged 13.6 points per game this season.
In Sunday’s game, she scored seven. If Stewart plays, take the UNDER if she doesn’t, skip this market.
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Her point total alone makes me a little nervous. It’s 20.5. She would have gone UNDER this TOTAL by a half point in Sunday’s game. That’s too close for comfort, for my taste. However, she has finished UNDER the TOTAL for this combo in her last seven games.
Against the defensive-minded Valkyries, she went UNDER it in four of five games.
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She hit this OVER in just one of her last four games, which was in her last game Sunday vs. Golden State (she hit three of five shots. However, she went OVER this mark in six of her last ten games and in 20 of 40 games this season.
McBride is a 39.5% three-point shooter. Golden State, while they are a solid defensive team, has struggled a little against three-point shooters on the road since Aug. 1 (35.3% allowed, seventh in the league in that time frame).
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Burton averaged 11.9 points per game this season but scored 14 in Sunday’s loss to the Lynx in Minnesota. She has gone OVER it in four of her last five, the one game she went UNDER coming against the Lynx towards the end of the regular season, and in three of five vs. Minnesota.
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