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C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction: Red Devils Start Title Defence in Hunt for Third Consecutive Crown

Published: January 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
4 min read
  • C.F. Monterrey finished their campaign in the 2025 Apertura semifinals, bowing out to the eventual league winners 

  • Toluca roll into the 2026 season, winners of the previous two league titles, adding to their 12 Liga MX trophies in their cabinet

Saturday evening, C.F. Monterrey will attempt to knock off the kings of Liga MX of late, Toluca, who have secured league championships on back-to-back occasions. Los Rayados are the hosts, which means this contest will be held at the Estadio BBVA.

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca.

C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca Betting Odds for Saturday, January 10

The three-way moneyline market has the hosts pegged as the favourites. C.F. Monterrey are priced at +105 to win while Toluca are listed at +230. If both sides are level after the full-time whistle, the game is at +260.

C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca Odds

The odds for C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca odds can be found in the odds table below, courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook. Create an account using bet365 promo code WSN365 and claim the welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose. Read more about this promo in our bet365 Sportsbook review.

Moneyline 3-way Odds
C.F. Monterrey +105
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Draw+260
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Toluca +230
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C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca 2026 01 10

C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca Betting Prediction

C.F. Monterrey Preview

During the 2025 Apertura, Domènec Torrent’s crew wrapped up the year with the fifth-best record, obtaining 31 points. The strong suit of Los Rayados in the previous term was the displays they put on at home. The club excelled at Estadio BBVA, going unbeaten in eight regular-season home games while making life difficult for the opposition, conceding only a team total of nine goals.

One of the key backbones for Monterrey’s defence departed this winter, as the legendary defender Sergio Ramos is off to start a new chapter. The decorated Spanish international's absence will leave a void on the backline, as the now 39-year-old averaged 4.8 clearances per match. Los Rayados added a solid member to rush up the wings of the pitch, bringing in Luca Orellano from FC Cincinnati. The playmaking winger appeared in 35 games across all competitions in 2025, registering three goals and six assists.

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Toluca Preview

Back on the touchline, Antonio Mohamed’s men will try to pull off a third straight league crown with the journey starting this weekend. The Red Devils have been the envy of the Liga MX, which saw their 2025 Apertura campaign finish with a league-best 37 points. Another stat that Toluca dominated over its adversaries was hitting the back of the net, as its steady production on the scoreboard led to 43 goals during the regular season.

The club retained most of its star power, which includes last season's Golden Boot winner, Paulinho. Highlighting in just over 1500 minutes between regular season and playoffs, the lethal striker catalogued 15 goals. Alexis Vega should have another impactful season with the 2026 FIFA World Cup on the horizon; the El Tri member will want to make sure his level of play doesn’t drop off. In 14 league matches during the 2025 Apertura, the 28-year-old managed to stockpile 13 goal contributions.

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C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca - My Pick

This brush-up between these two heavy hitters in Mexico's top-flight division should be a scrappy affair, especially since they recently clashed in the Apertura playoffs. We do lean towards backing the home side in this fixture as Toluca have had turbulent moments visiting Estadio BBVA in recent times.

In the initial 18 visits, the Red Devils have only walked away with three points in their back pocket twice. We feel maybe in a home opener, and the revenge factor of being bounced out by this very same opponent, C.F. Monterrey has the extra incentive to prove they are worthy title contenders too.

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How to Watch C.F. Monterrey vs. Toluca

  • When: January 10, 10 pm ET 

  • Where: Estadio BBVA 

  • TV: Univision Networks (Univision, UniMás, TUDN), DirecTV Stream, ViX, Fubo, CBS Sports

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Angelo Zarra WSN Contributor

Angelo Zarra

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
Liga MX
Betting Picks
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid. In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 
Email: angelo.zarra@wsn.com
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Accounting and Payroll
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: PowerPlay Casino
Experience: 15 years
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