Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Home Run Picks, May 10
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Best MLB Home Run Props Today: All in On Ohtani

Published: May. 10, 2025, 01:09 PM ET
3 min read
Best MLB Home Run Props Today: All in On Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani has found his groove and has been punishing opposing pitchers. With five long balls over eight games this month, the Dodgers' star has been one of the safest home run bets in the league. We’re going to continue to ride his hot streak today, along with two others that we are locking in. 

The odds we use for our home run bets are taken from Caesars Sportsbook. If you’d like to give Caesars a try, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boost Tokens” offer.

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Home Run Picks for Saturday, May 10

Wilson Contreras 1+ Home Runs (+380) at Caesars Sportsbook

Wilson Contreras has caught fire over the last week. The veteran catcher is batting .385 with a 1.154 OPS this month. He’s also found his power stroke, going deep twice over his last six games.

We expect the 33-year-old to stay hot against some bad pitching tonight. It will start with Trevor Williams (2-3, 5.86 ERA, 1.61 WHIP), who has allowed nine runs over his last two starts (10 ⅔ innings). Once he exits, things will be handed over to a Washington bullpen with a 10.00 ERA over the previous week.

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Christian Yelich 1+ Home Runs (+360) at Caesars Sportsbook

Christian Yelich has yet to resemble the All-Star he was last season, but he remains an incredibly dangerous hitter. He will have an excellent chance to show that tonight with Taj Bradley (3-2, 4.43 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) on the mound.

Bradley has struggled in 2025, especially early on in games. His first time through the lineup, he has an OBA of .296 and given up three of the five home runs he’s allowed this season. We expect Jackson Chourio to start things off at the top of the order, leading to Bradley's confidence being shaken when Yelich steps up to the plate.

While taking Yelich for an anytime home run bet has been a risk this season, these factors make the price too good to pass up. 

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Shohei Ohtani 1+ Home Runs (+260) at Caesars Sportsbook

We will keep riding Shohei Ohtani’s hot streak to cash tonight. The three-time MVP got off to a slow start (by his standards), but has found his groove in May. He has a 1.462 OPS across eight games this month, thanks partly to hitting five home runs during that span. He has gone deep in his previous two games, and we expect that trend to continue on Saturday.

Corbin Burnes (1-1, 3.58 ERA, 1.38 WHIP) has steadily lowered his ERA in 2025, but his WHIP remains a concern. After seeming to find his control in mid-April, the former Cy Young winner has allowed seven hits and eight walks over his last two starts (11 ⅓ innings). His control problems and Ohtani’s hot bat have us running to lock this one in.

Ohtani has hit one home run in six career at-bats against Burnes.

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Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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MLB
NCAAB
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Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 3 years
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