Best MLB Prop Bets Today: MLB Player Props, May 5
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Five Prop Bets with Plus-Odds, Including Two Home Run Props

Published: May. 5, 2025, 09:30 AM ET
5 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today May 5

Monday is a rare day for our prop bets because all five picks have plus odds. On top of that, we have two players we are targeting for home run props. It’s a little unusual for a home run prop, much less two, to be among our top options, but that’s the case on Monday. That’s just the nature of baseball; you never know. 

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Padres vs. Yankees (7:05 PM, EST)

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) at bet365 Sportsbook

Somehow, Judge is getting plus-odds to collect multiple bases in Monday’s game. The guy is batting .423 and has a 13-game hitting streak. Even if he’s only a modest 5 for 18 (.278) in his career against San Diego starter Nick Pivetta, it’s hard to ignore the favorable odds for this prop bet. After all, Judge has gone over 1.5 total bases in eight straight games, and he’s only failed to reach that mark twice during his 13-game hitting streak. Before Sunday, Judge went five straight games with multiple hits, so we’re all over him to collect multiple bases against the Padres.

Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBI (+145) at bet365 Sportsbook

Bogaerts is one of the few hitters in San Diego’s lineup who will be happy to be facing Carlos Rodon on Monday. He’s 5 for 12 (.417) in his career against the lefty, so he could easily notch a pair of hits to cash this bet. Of course, Bogaerts also hits in the middle of the San Diego lineup, which should give him opportunities to score runs or drive them in as well. Since snapping a three-game hitless streak last weekend, Bogaerts has gone over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI in four of his last six games. Given his track record against Rodon, he has a good chance to keep it going, making this a high-value pick.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mets vs. Diamondbacks (9:40 PM, EST)

Griffin Canning to Record Win (+190) at bet365 Sportsbook

Canning has been a pleasant surprise for the Mets and a big key to their winning ways early in the season. The Mets won all five games that Canning started in April, with the righty earning the win in his last four outings. Canning has also allowed one run or less in three consecutive starts, so he’s in a groove right now. Just for good measure, the entire Arizona roster is a combined 7 for 40 (.175) against him. Thus, Canning is set up for another good outing on Monday. Meanwhile, the Mets are due for a win after losing four of their last five games. It might look a little odd, but this is a good time to jump on Canning’s bandwagon.

Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs (+300) at bet365 Sportsbook

Alonso has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season, so, surprisingly, we haven’t targeted him more. Over his last six games, he has eight hits, including eight home runs, so Alonso is definitely feeling good at the plate right now. Surprisingly, five of his eight home runs this season have come on the road, which also works to his advantage on Monday. The kicker is that he’s 4 for 9 in his career against Arizona starter Ryne Nelson, with three of his four hits being home runs. Based on that admittedly limited track record, if Alonso gets three at-bats against Nelson in this game, one should be a home run.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mariners vs Athletics (10:05 PM, EST)

Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs (+260) at bet365 Sportsbook

Raleigh is the MLB leader in home runs, so we’re not getting a ton of value with this bet. Nevertheless, we feel good about Seattle’s catcher adding his 13th home run on Monday. While he only has four career at-bats against Luis Severino, one of those was a home run. Plus, after Raleigh’s home run pace slowed a little bit during the second half of April, he hit two home runs against the Rangers on Friday, so his power could pick up. Finally, keep in mind that this game is being played in Sacramento, which is a triple-A ballpark. The A’s have also allowed the fifth-most home runs at home this season, so there are a lot of factors favorable to Raleigh going deep in this game.

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Bryan Zarpentine WSN Contributor

Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
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