After hitting on one of our two home run props on Monday, along with some other wins, we nearly doubled our stake on the first day of the week. While we’re taking a more conservative approach to our picks on Tuesday, we feel confident that success will continue, so feel free to come along for the ride.
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If you’re going to target one player on Tuesday, make it Freeman. There are a lot of prop options involving Freeman that are viable, but we’ve chosen the most value by betting him to get multiple hits. Keep in mind that he’s hitting .337 and has five multi-hit games in his last eight games. He also has three home runs in his last five games, if you want to go that route. However, Freeman is also 9 for 17 (.529) with three extra-base hits in his career against Miami starter Cal Quantrill. With that history, we feel confident that Freeman can stay hot and have another multi-hit game on Tuesday.
Speaking of Quantrill, he’s set up for failure on Tuesday, as he pitches against the Dodgers. Freeman is far from the only member of the Los Angeles lineup with a strong track record against him. Plus, Quantirll is rocking an 8.10 ERA at the moment. Outside of one good start against the Braves, Quantrill has allowed at least three runs in his other five starts this season. He also faced the Dodgers in his last start, giving up four runs over 3.2 innings. Having to face that lineup again will be a tough task for Quantrill. The odds for this bet aren’t great, but they are enough for what looks like a safe wager.
It won’t be all bad for the Marlins because Stowers gives them at least one batter worth targeting for a prop bet on Tuesday. The left-hand hitting outfielder is batting .310, making him a silver lining for the Miami lineup. Stowers was also 4 for 4 with two home runs last week in a game started by Tony Gonsolin, who starts again on Tuesday. Three of those four hits by Stowers came against Gonsolin, which makes this a favorable matchup for him. A more aggressive bet could be worthwhile in this situation, but since these are valuable odds for a player to get one measly hit, we’re taking the safe approach.
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Rather quietly, Yastrzemski has heated up over the last week. He has three multi-hit games in his last five games and five multi-hit games in his last 10 games. Over his last five games, Yastrzemski also has four runs scored and four RBI. He’s contributing in more than one way, which is why over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI is the perfect bet for him. Yastrzemski is also 3 for 5 with a double and two home runs in his career against Chicago starter Colin Rea. That’s still a small sample size, but it’s also hard to deny that this is a favorable matchup for Yastrzemski, so he should find a way to produce.
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Coming off a two-hit game on Monday, this probably seems like an odd time to fade Cruz. However, Cruz and the Pirates are facing lefty Matthew Liberatore on Tuesday. Cruz is just 1 for 9 (.111) with two strikeouts in his career against Liberatore. He’s also batting just .139 against left-handed pitching this season. Those are brutal numbers, making it worthwhile to take plus-odds on Cruz going hitless on Tuesday. Keep in mind that his batting average has dropped 15 points over his last eight games. Cruz has gone hitless four times during that stretch, coinciding with dreadful performances by the entire Pittsburgh lineup. That’s led us to believe that this is a sensible prop bet.
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