Friday begins an interesting weekend in the baseball world. Many teams are playing their in-state rivals, including a few interleague series. We’ve made some effort to feature those games with our prop bets. Of course, we still had to find the best value, and we think we’ve got a nice collection of wagers.
Despite only being 3-3 on the season, Bibee has allowed two runs or less in four straight starts. He’s also completed at least six innings in three of those four starts, which means he’s putting himself in a position to win games. He’s also facing a Cincinnati team that’s just 3-9 in its last 12 games. Even on the road, the Guardians have a good chance to win this game, especially since they have a winning record on the road. Bibee’s counterpart, Brady Singer, meanwhile, is coming off a disastrous outing. He’s also been hit hard in the past by several members of the Guardians, giving Bibee and Cleveland a huge edge in this game.
Ramirez has outstanding career numbers against Singer, going 12 for 27 (.444) with two doubles and three home runs. He’s also fresh off a series against the Brewers in which he went 4 for 9 with two home runs, four RBI, and six runs scored. Virtually any prop involving Ramirez is a good play in this game. Since he’s gone over 1.5 total bases five times during his current eight-game hitting streak, this seems like the safest option, but feel free to sprinkle in other props that involve Ramirez because he’s likely to have a big day against Singer and the Reds.
Castellanos should be on the prop bet radar whenever the Phillies face a left-handed starter. He’s batting .360 with an OPS of .958 against southpaws. In 50 at-bats against lefties, Castellanos has six doubles, compared with five doubles against righties in 115 at-bats. That tells you how much better he is against left-handed pitchers. That includes Pittsburgh starter Andrew Heaney. Castellanos is 6 for 8 with a double against him. That’s still a small sample size, but it’s also a sign that Castellanos loves facing Heaney. With three multi-hit games over his last six games, we feel safe banking on Castellanos on Friday.
Sale has been far from perfect this season, going just 1-3 with a 3.97 ERA. But he can still miss bats and collect tons of strikeouts, ranking ninth in the majors in that category. The lefty has gone over 7.5 strikeouts in each of his last three starts, as well as four of his last five starts. He’s even reached double-digit strikeouts in two of his last three starts. Of course, the Red Sox have struck out the second-most times of any team this season. Only the lowly Rockies have gone down on strikes more often. With Boston averaging over nine strikeouts per game, no matter who is pitching, Sale should be able to rack up at least eight strikeouts.
While Sale is collecting a lot of strikeouts, he’s also giving up a lot of hits, conceding at least five hits in seven straight starts. That means it’s a good idea to target someone on the Red Sox to have a good night. Naturally, we chose Bregman, who is batting .314 with an OPS of .981, which ranks fifth in the majors. He’s also batting .400 against lefties this year, and is 6 for 21 (.286) with two home runs in his career against Sale. Oddly enough, doubles have been few and far between for Bregman lately. But he has homered in his last two games and is coming off a three-hit game on Wednesday, so he’s an excellent candidate to do some damage against Sale.
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