NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Kon Knueppel & More Picks for Thursday, October 30

The work week is almost over, and I’ve assembled my favorite NBA player prop picks to help bridge the gap between now and the weekend. 

Austin Reaves had 28 points, 16 assists, and a game-winner in the Los Angeles Lakers’ win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, while Cade Cunningham’s 30 points and 10 assists helped lift the Detroit Pistons past the 1-4 Orlando Magic.

There are only four games on Thursday, one of them being a cross-conference showdown between the Golden State Warriors and the Milwaukee Bucks. Victor Wembanyama will also lead the undefeated San Antonio Spurs into battle against the Miami Heat to close out the evening.

Here are my best NBA player prop bets for Thursday, Oct. 30.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, October 30

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Kon Knueppel Under 2.5 Threes (-122) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Kneuppel made 53.3 percent of his three-pointers during his record-setting start to his career, during which he made more threes in his four games than any other player in NBA history. He also just went 5-11 from downtown in Tuesday’s loss to the Miami Heat.

With Kneuppel’s hot start, betting him to go over would seem like an easy choice. However, he simply can’t sustain this level, and the Orlando Magic rank fifth in three-pointers allowed per game and have terrific size on the wings to make it more difficult for Kneuppel.

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Cason Wallace Over 9.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Wallace is playing 31.8 minutes per night, and Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Joe are all expected to be out on Thursday evening. That means he should spend plenty of time on the court and get other opportunities to cash the over.

Wallace went under in three straight games, but he’s facing a Washington Wizards defense that allows the most points per game in the NBA. The Wizards are also a bad team, so in the event of a blowout, Wallace could see even more shots if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is rested.

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Khris Middleton Over 12.5 Points (+104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While the Wizards’ defense has been terrible, the Thunder hold their opponents to the fifth-fewest points per game. That’s why I believe Middleton, one of the few proven veterans in D.C., could dominate the shots if the offense struggles to find its rhythm early on.

The 34-year-old had 13 points in his last outing and split the over/under at two apiece. Middleton should have the height advantage over his on-ball defenders, which sets him up nicely for his patented mid-range turnaround.

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Al Horford Over 4.5 Rebounds (+128) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Horford, 39, only beat this mark once in three games while averaging 23.3 minutes per contest. However, I believe he could see a spike in playing time due to the Milwaukee Bucks’ tall rotation, which features Giannis Antetokounmpo, Myles Turner, and Bobby Portis.

The Warriors have a small starting five and won’t want Draymond Green playing many minutes at center with Giannis and Turner on the floor together. That opens the door for Horford to become a real interior presence despite his moving further and further outside in the later years of his career.

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Kel’El Ware Over 8.5 Rebounds (+104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Heat are taking on Victor Wembanyama and the red-hot San Antonio Spurs, and I also think that matchup will dictate Ware’s usage. He played a season-high 27 minutes on Tuesday in a win over the Hornets, and he’s gone over this line in two of his last three contests.

Bam Adebayo is terrific, but he can’t be the only interior player with size going against Wemby. Ware had eight and 12 boards in matchups with the Spurs last year, and I believe his 7-foot status could directly lead to him seeing a spike in playing time.

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