NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Nikola Jokic, Kawhi Leonard & More Picks for Monday, Dec. 1

It’s the first day of the final month of 2025, and I’ve got my favorite NBA player props locked and loaded for Monday’s slate.

Payton Pritchard dropped 42 points as the Boston Celtics took down the Cleveland Cavaliers, while Jalen Johnson’s 41-point, 14-rebound, seven-assist showing was enough for the Atlanta Hawks to best the Philadelphia 76ers despite Tyrese Maxey’s 44 points.

Looking ahead to Monday evening, the Hawks will be back on the road to face the Detroit Pistons in an Eastern Conference battle between young and exciting teams, before the Phoenix Suns pay a visit to the Los Angeles Lakers in the nightcap.

Here are my favorite NBA player prop picks and bets for Monday, Dec. 1.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, December 1

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Alexandre Sarr Over 8.5 Rebounds (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Sarr has been playing heavy minutes recently, which helped him go over this line in three straight and in five of his last six outings. He also averaged 8.6 rebounds per game and 8.5 in November, plus, he had 11 rebounds in his only prior matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks ranked right in the middle of the league in rebounds allowed per game over their last 10 outings. Giannis Antetokounmpo will anchor the interior alongside Myles Turner, but Sarr’s usage and the simple fact that he needs to get on the glass for the Wizards to be competitive are enough of a reason to bet his over.

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Evan Mobley Over 19.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Mobley might only average 19.2 points per game, but he dropped 27 points and 14 rebounds in his last outing and went over this line in three of his last five games. He also scored 22 points against the Indiana Pacers when the two teams played on Friday, Nov. 21.

The Pacers’ lack of size has resulted in them ranking 25th in points allowed in the paint per game over their last 10 contests. Indy is also 21st in points allowed per game for the year, which gives me confidence that Mobley can hit 20 points on Monday evening.

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Kawhi Leonard Under 1.5 Threes (+144) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Okay, I’m taking a swing with this one. Leonard went over this line in four of five games this month and made 2.4 threes per game on 42.9 percent shooting this season. The Miami Heat are also in the bottom 10 for made threes allowed per game over the course of the season and over the last 10 games.

The reason I’m fading Leonard is because of the Heat’s rapid pace of play, one that could zap the legs of the older, struggling Los Angeles Clippers players. Leonard also hasn’t played more than 29 minutes in four straight games, while the Heat only allowed their opponents to make 32 percent of their three-point attempts (second).

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Rui Hachimura Under 1.5 Threes (-108) at FanDuel Sportsbook

What I’m about to say is going to sound ridiculous… but I think that opposing teams will be more willing to honor Hachimura’s presence in the corner than they will the presence of LeBron James on the perimeter. That’s because Hachimura has been outstanding from range, making 1.9 threes per game on 46.1 percent shooting from downtown.

The Lakers are about to meet the Suns, who have had a top-10 three-point defense nearly all season. LeBron is coming back to play in the second night of back-to-back after taking Sunday to rest, but again, Hachimura has been the bigger threat on the perimeter.

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Nikola Jokic Under 30.5 Points (-130) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Jokic, the best player in the world, is more than capable of scoring 30, 40, or 50 points on any team and any player that he sees. This pick is more about judging the recent trends and his mindset entering the matchup as opposed to looking for differences in ability.

The Dallas Mavericks are right in the middle of the league in points allowed per game over the last few weeks, but their interior defense has been poor. That might sound like an advantage for Jokic, but he took 10, nine, and seven field goal attempts in his last three games. He’s going through one of those stretches where he doesn’t shoot the ball, so I’ll take his under.

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