I’ve got my top NBA player prop picks for Tuesday locked and loaded ahead of another day on the hardwood.
Cade Cunningham’s 33 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists helped the Detroit Pistons clip the stingers of the Charlotte Hornets yesterday, while the Cleveland Cavaliers’ Donovan Mitchell dropped 32 points and 10 assists to take down Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets.
There are only four games tonight, but they are all compelling matchups. The standouts are the Phoenix Suns against the Dallas Mavericks, as well as the nightcap, which will see the Los Angeles Lakers host the San Antonio Spurs.
Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Tuesday, Feb. 10.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Claim $100 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker Under 1.5 Threes | +124 | CLAIM HERE |
| Kawhi Leonard Under 30.5 Points | -132 | CLAIM HERE |
| Alperen Sengun Under 9.5 Rebounds | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
| Brandon Williams Over 10.5 Points | -125 | CLAIM HERE |
| LeBron James Over 5.5 Rebounds | -146 | CLAIM HERE |
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This line seems pretty ridiculous to me. Walker, whose 1.6 made threes per game are a career-high, shot 31.6 percent from beyond the arc to start February and went under this line in three of his last five games, even despite seeing an increase in recent minutes.
The Indiana Pacers’ big man made one three-pointer (in 16 minutes) when he played the New York Knicks on Dec. 18. The Knicks also allowed the third-fewest made threes per game on just 31.8 percent shooting over the last few weeks, which means that Walker should have a tough time getting to the over.
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Don’t make any mistake, Leonard has been balling. The 34-year-old averaged a career-high 28.0 points per game on 50/39/91 shooting splits and went over this line in back-to-back outings, finishing with a combined 72 points.
Despite his excellent play—and more importantly, the lack of scoring ability around him—he is still facing a Rockets team that has been top-five on defense all year. Without other capable scorers to alleviate the burden and help create the offense, I anticipate Leonard having a difficult time cashing the over.
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The natural assumption, when considering that the Los Angeles Clippers traded Ivica Zubac and did not get an equal player in return, is that opposing centers will feast. However, in three games since the trade, the Clippers were still right in the middle of the league in rebounds allowed per game.
Sengun might average 9.4 boards per game, but he went under in two of his last three. He normally hangs out around this line, but he also has plenty of teammates who have a strong interest in the boards, so there’s no guarantee that he will dominate tonight.
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Williams is flying under the radar, but he averaged a solid 12.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting in 21.9 minutes of action per night. He also went over this line in nine of his last 10 games and just scored 18 points on 66.7 percent shooting against the Spurs’ great defense in his last outing.
The Suns are a strong defensive team that ranked eighth in average points allowed over their last 15 games. That said, Cooper Flagg is the primary threat in Dallas’ offense, and Williams should end up with a lesser defender like Collin Gillespie as his primary, giving him a greater chance to cash the over.
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James went over this line in back-to-back games after going under six straight just before that. He averaged 5.7 rebounds per game for the year, but he also had 15 rebounds in his only other matchup with the Spurs this season.
The Spurs run great offense, but they aren’t anything special on the offensive glass. They also don’t have players with the physicality to barge LeBron off of his spot if Victor Wembanayama isn’t leaping to grab the ball over his head.
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