Texas Tech vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds & Picks: CFP Quarterfinal Game

• Oregon beat James Madison in the first round of the CFP

• Texas Tech beat BYU in the Big 12 Championship 

• The Ducks are a 2.5-point favorite over the Red Raiders

The tightest spread in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals is Texas Tech vs. Oregon. The Ducks are a lower seed, but they’re a 2.5-point favorite over the Red Raiders in the Orange Bowl. 

There are doubts surrounding the Red Raiders’ strength of schedule, but they’re a live dog in this contest. Dan Lanning has failed in big games before, and this is a tough matchup for the Ducks. 

This bowl game kicks off the New Year’s Day slate. Here, we will break down the matchup and give our pick for the contest on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Texas Tech vs. Oregon Odds

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Texas Tech vs.Oregon My Pick

• My Pick: Texas Tech ML (+114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Texas Tech enters this matchup with Oregon because of its ability to play team football. The Red Raiders are one of the more balanced teams in the country, pairing an efficient offense with a defense that consistently limits explosive plays. 

Texas Tech thrives on controlling tempo, winning the turnover battle, and staying ahead of the chains, all of which are key against an Oregon team that can be inconsistent defensively.

Oregon’s offense is dangerous, but the Ducks have shown vulnerability when forced into long, methodical drives. That plays into Texas Tech’s strength, as the Red Raiders rank near the top nationally in scoring defense and red-zone efficiency. 

Behren Morton needs to play a clean game for the Red Raiders, and if he does, Texas Tech will advance in the College Football Playoff.

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Texas Tech vs. Oregon Prediction

Texas Tech Preview

A core group of impact players on both sides of the ball has driven Texas Tech’s success this season. Offensively, quarterback Behren Morton has taken a significant step forward, showing poise, accuracy, and the ability to distribute the football efficiently. 

Morton’s command of the offense allows Texas Tech to stay balanced and unpredictable, which has been a significant reason for its consistent scoring output.

The Red Raiders are also deep at the skill positions. Cameron Dickey and J’Koby Williams give Texas Tech a reliable rushing tandem that can grind out tough yards and control tempo, while also contributing in the passing game. 

At wide receiver, Caleb Douglas and Reggie Virgil provide big-play ability on the outside, stretching defenses vertically and creating space underneath for tight end Coy Eakins, a dependable target in critical situations.

Defensively, Texas Tech is anchored by Jacob Rodriguez, who has been a staple at linebacker for them all season. Texas Tech has one of the best defenses in the country, and they’ll be challenged, but their stats should translate to the Orange Bowl.

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Oregon Preview 

Oregon enters this matchup with Texas Tech featuring a roster loaded with high-end talent on both sides of the ball. Offensively, the Ducks are led by quarterback Dante Moore, who has developed into a confident and efficient playmaker. 

Moore’s accuracy and decision-making allow Oregon to push the ball downfield while also sustaining long drives, making the offense difficult to defend for four quarters.

The Ducks are strong in the backfield as well, with Noah Whittington providing a physical running style that complements the passing game. His ability to break tackles and pick up consistent yardage helps Oregon control tempo and stay balanced offensively.

Defensively, Oregon is anchored by edge rusher Matayo Uiagalelei, whose pass-rush ability forces offenses to speed up and adjust protection schemes. There should be plenty of chances to rush the passer in this game, so look for him to make an impact.

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Texas Tech vs. Oregon Injury Report

Texas Tech

• Skyler Gill-Howard (DL) - Out (undisclosed)

• Hunter Zambrano (OL) - Out (undisclosed)

• Will Hammond (QB) - Out (undisclosed)

Oregon

• Kingston Lopa (DB) - Out (undisclosed)

• Kyler Kasper (WR) - Out (undisclosed)

• Sione Laulea (DB) - Out (undisclosed)

• Evan Stewart (WR) - Out (undisclosed)

Texas Tech vs. Oregon: Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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How to Watch Texas Tech vs. Oregon

• When: Thursday, January 1  @ 12:00 PM EST

• Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami, Florida)

• How to Watch: ESPN