UNLV lost to Boise State in the Mountain West Conference championship
Ohio’s running back Sieh Bangura averages 5.6 Yards per Carry
The Rebels defense ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate
After losing to Boise State in the Mountain West conference championship, the UNLV Rebels have the opportunity to end their season on a high note as they face off against the Ohio Bobcats in the Frisco Bowl. While their offense is in a position to thrive, their lack of production on defense will allow the Bobcats to keep it close in what should be a thrilling high scoring affair.
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| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | -250 | -6.5 (-110) | 64.5 (-115) |
| Ohio | +200 | +6.5 (-110) | 64.5 (-105) |
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Even though the UNLV Rebels managed to go 10-3, they flirted with disaster for a majority of the year as their defense struggled to give them the production they needed to be a well rounded unit. Primarily in regard to stopping the run as the Rebels defense heads into the Frisco Bowl ranked well below league average in Def Rush Success Rate, Stuff Rate, PPA, and in Second Level Line Yards.
With the Rebels defense struggling to stuff opposing running backs at the line of scrimmage, Ohio’s Sieh Bangura will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance as he averages 5.6 Yards per Carry. On the other side of the field, the Rebels will be able to match the Bobcats output as they face off against a secondary who grades out poorly in Def Pass Explosiveness. When in scoring position, expect points to be put up on the board as the Rebels average 4.5 Points per Opportunity.
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Since the start of the regular season, Anthony Colandrea was able to keep UNLV competitive in their contests as the Rebels quarterback ranked above league average in quarterback EPA per Play. His versatility was on full display on a weekly basis as Colandrea averaged 8.5 Yards per Completion while punching in 9 touchdowns with his legs.
With Colandrea stretching out the second level of the defense, Jai’Den Thomas is able to consistently generate Yards After Contact once he gets past the trenches as he averages 7.2 Yards per Carry. With the Bobcats forced to anchor their linebackers in coverage, expect Thomas to generate explosive runs at a high rate and help the Rebels sustain their drives down the field.
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Even though Ohio fell just short in their efforts of playing in the MAC conference championship, it was not due to their level of play on offense as the Bobcats reside in the top half of the board in Pass Explosiveness and in Rush Success Rate. Sieh Bangura was instrumental in their success as the Bobcats running back rushed for 1,243 yards and 14 touchdowns while averaging 5.6 Yards per Carry.
Bangura’s offensive line has played a major role in his success this season as the Bobcats front five ranks above league average in Stuff Rate and in Line Yards. With his blockers opening up high quality running lanes in the trenches, Bangura will be able to exploit the Rebels underwhelming front seven and keep their offense ahead of the sticks for the full duration of the contest.
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UNLV
Var’Keyes Gumms (TE) - Out (undisclosed)
Ohio
Michael Molnar (LB) - Out (undisclosed)
When: Tuesday, December 23rd
Where: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
How to Watch: ESPN
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