Best Tua Tagovailoa Prop Bets: Can Tagovailoa Upset the Packers?

• Miami has won three straight games

• The Dolphins are second in the AFC East 

• Miami is currently +250 to make the playoffs on FanDuel Sportsbook

Miami has been playing great football recently. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is a big reason for this, as he has the Dolphins back in playoff contention. 

The Dolphins now go to Green Bay and take on an excellent Packers team. Green Bay is 8-3 but in third place due to a loaded NFC North division. 

Tagovailoa will have to be nearly perfect to win. We expect him to perform and are leaning on three of his props for Thanksgiving night. 

FanDuel Sportsbook is one of the best sportsbooks in the legal market, and the site has excellent lines for our three props. FanDuel gives new customers $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager wins on the platform. Sign up for FanDuel via our link and claim this offer today!

Tua Tagovailoa Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel 

Tagovailoa has been playing great football since returning from injury. He is coming off a 317-yard performance, throwing four touchdowns against the Patriots. 

Taking Tagovailoa’s passing yards with Miami's offensive weapons is always a great idea. Tyreek Hill is one of the best receivers in football, and we expect him and Tagovailoa to be on the same page this week. 

Green Bay allows opposing quarterbacks 6.14 passing yards per attempt. However, the secondary might need help to contain Hill and Jaylen Waddle on opposite sides of the field. 

Tight end Jonnu Smith has also been a big target for Tagovailoa. Between him, Hill, and Waddle, we expect Tagovailoa to find success against the Green Bay secondary. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+122) at FanDuel

As much as the Dolphins love throwing the ball, Tagovailoa’s passing touchdowns are always an excellent wager. He is coming off a four touchdown performance one week ago and has ten in his last four games. 

Hill has 49 receptions for 571 yards and three touchdowns. Compared to his previous couple of seasons, he has been shut down, but it’s only a matter of time before we start seeing Hill and Tagovailoa on the same page. 

Outside of Miami's great receivers, the running backs also catch many balls out of the backfield. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert do a great job of getting open in the red zone for Tagovailoa. 

Mike McDaniel has been no stranger to throwing the ball in short-yardage situations in the red zone. With Tagovailoa’s vision and the ability to finish drives, we expect him to go over 1.5 passing touchdowns. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 34.5 Longest Completion (-114) at FanDuel 

Tagovailoa is fearless when throwing the ball deep down the field. This makes sense because Miami has the best deep ball threat in the NFL with Hill. He is tied for seventh in most extended passing plays this season.

Hill and Waddle can create yards after the catch, so 34.5 yards should seem more manageable to everyone taking this line. This line is too low considering the opportunities Tagovailoa will get to cash this wager. In this game, we see Miami trailing, which will mean more passing plays.

The Green Bay Packers are a big challenge for the Dolphins. They have the edge in many areas, and if they play their game, they’ll have success. 

Although Green Bay could be in a letdown spot after beating the 49ers as they are now facing a short week. We expect Tagovailoa to take advantage of this opportunity and attack his receivers for big gains. Look for him to surpass his longest completion prop in Week 13. 

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Tua Tagovailoa 2024 Stats

• Completion Percentage: 73.3%

• Passing Yards: 1,760

• Touchdowns: 13

• Interceptions: 4