Best Joe Burrow Player Props for Bengals vs. Bills in Week 14

• Burrow threw for 261 yards and two touchdowns in his return from injury against the Ravens in Week 13

• The Bills have allowed the fewest passing yards in the NFL this season, giving up just 177 yards per game

• Buffalo has conceded the second-fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL

Joe Burrow made his triumphant return from injury on Thanksgiving, and he didn’t fail to disappoint. Burrow threw for 261 yards and a touchdown in a convincing win over the Ravens. That sets up another challenging game for Burrow and the Bengals in Week 14, as they travel to Western New York to face the Buffalo Bills. These two teams have some interesting history, including a recent playoff game, which should make for an interesting matchup, especially with Burrow under center.

Perhaps the biggest takeaway from last week’s win over the Ravens is that it kept Cincinnati’s slim hopes of winning the AFC North alive. Obviously, Burrow won’t be factoring into the MVP discussion this season, given all of the time he’s missed. However, his return could help Ja’Marr Chase lead the NFL in receiving in 2025.

From Cincinnati’s perspective, Burrow will be the key figure to watch in this game. That’s why we wanted to focus on Burrow as it relates to prop bets.

Best Joe Burrow Player Props in Week 14

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Joe Burrow Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

After throwing for 261 yards last week, the over/under on Burrow’s passing yards for Week 14 is a little too ambitious. Keep in mind that he needed 46 pass attempts to reach 261 yards. He also wasn’t particularly efficient, completing just 24 of those passes. Burrow also did that against a Baltimore defense that allows 244 passing yards per game.

It could be a different story in Week 14, as the Buffalo defense has given up the fewest passing yards in the NFL this season. The Bills give up a mere 177 passing yards per game on just 6.5 yards per attempt. When you factor in the weather conditions and the fact that the Bills are far more vulnerable on the ground, it’s unlikely that Burrow will be able to rack up a lot of passing yards this week.

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Joe Burrow Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+145) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Burrow throwing two touchdown passes last week isn’t necessarily an indicator of the same this week. Given his inefficiency with regard to his completion percentage, it’s clear that Burrow is still shaking off some rust and isn’t quite at his best. The quality of the defense he was facing also played a role in his success last week.

Heading into Week 14, the Bills are tied for the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed this season. In recent weeks, the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield, and Aaron Rodgers have all failed to throw multiple touchdowns against the Bills. With plus odds for this bet, it’s best to fade Burrow and side with a stingy Buffalo secondary.

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Joe Burrow Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-120) at bet365 Sportsbook

One of the reasons to fade Burrow’s yards and touchdown passes in this game is the same reason we’re fading his pass completions. That reason is the Bengals are better off running the ball this week. Buffalo has conceded the second-most rushing yards in the NFL this season, and is allowing 5.2 yards per carry on the ground.

Even with Burrow back from injury, the running game will be key to Cincinnati’s success this week. Look for the Bengals to lean on Chase Brown and the running game as much as possible. Again, Burrow needed 46 pass attempts to reach 24 completions last week. He’s likely not going to have that many pass attempts this week, reducing his chances of reaching 24 completions against the Bills.

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Joe Burrow Stats

• Games: 3

• Completions: 45

• Attempts: 82

• Completion Percentage: 54.9%

• Yards: 450

• Average: 5.5

• Touchdowns: 4

• Interceptions: 0

• Passer Rating: 86.9

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