The Jets and Dolphins are both 0-3 to start the season.
Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson saw a 40.5% team target share over Weeks 1 and 2.
Jets quarterback Justin Fields is due back after missing Week 3 with a concussion.
For the second time this season, we have two games on Monday Night Football. The first of the duo is the Miami Dolphins hosting the New York Jets. Both teams are coming off a Week 3 loss, and as a result, both teams are now 0-3.
As a result of both teams starting 0-3, they’re quite low on the Super Bowl odds list. With that, don’t expect to see any Jets or Dolphins players in the NFL MVP discussion.
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Let’s dive into this SGP.
The Jets nearly had a come-from-behind win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3 after the Jets returned a blocked field goal for a touchdown and took a 27-26 lead with less than two minutes to go.
However, they lost on a field goal as time expired.
Now, they’re on the road, and while I think they could win outright, I’ll take the points to be safe.
Quarterback Justin Fields should be back after missing Week 3 with a concussion.
The Jets’ defense has been up-and-down, but as a unit that plays Cover-1, Cover-2, Cover-3, and Cover-4, they should be in for a good evening.
Why? Well, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has thrown four total interceptions when facing those coverages and averages just 6.1 yards per attempt.
Look for the Jets' defense and Fields’ return to play to be major factors in finally securing their first win of the season.
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Through the first two weeks of the season with Fields under center, Wilson had a team target share of 40.5%, which was by far the highest on the team. The next closest was running back Breece Hall at 16.7%.
In that span, Wilson caught 11 of 17 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown.
Now, Wilson and Fields will take on a Dolphins defense that plays mostly Cover-1, Cover-2, and Cover-3.
Since last season, Fields, in 12 games (eight starts), is 94 of 140 (67.1%) for 987 yards and three touchdowns against those coverages.
Wilson will be peppered with targets and find the end zone.
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I’m going with another player to score, but this time it’s the Dolphins' starting running back.
So far this season, Achane is tied for the team lead in target share at 24%. Remember, he’s a running back.
He’s caught 18 of 23 passes for 141 yards and two touchdowns.
As a runner, he’s gotten 71.4% of the running back carries and has 30 carries for 147 yards.
Achane is currently averaging 16 touches per game and more than seven targets.
The Jets are allowing one rushing touchdown per game, which is tied for the fifth-highest rate in the NFL.
Achane is the majority of the Dolphins’ offense. He’ll get ample work and find the end zone.
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