NFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2025: A Two Horse Race for the Division Title

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the betting favorite to win the NFC South

• Michael Penix Jr is listed as Atlanta’s starting quarterback heading into the season

• The Falcons defense ranked 26th in Def DVOA and 29th in Adj Sack Rate in 2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking to make history this season as they have the opportunity to be the first team in the NFC South to win five straight division titles. The Atlanta Falcons are looking to play spoiler after re-tooling their defense, as well as potentially receiving a bump in production at quarterback with Michael Penix Jr taking over for Kirk Cousins.

NFC South Winner Odds

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and claim: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

NFC South Winner Predictions

Fresh off of their fourth straight division title, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into the new year listed as the betting favorite to win it again after going through a productive offseason. With their offense expected to sustain their top-10 marks in Off DVOA and Success Rate, all eyes are on their defense as that was their primary weakness last season. Should their secondary elevate their level of play, then expect the Bucs to remain in contention for the division title.

As for the rest of the NFC South, the New Orleans Saints are scrambling for answers at quarterback after Derek Carr suddenly retired due to medical issues. Even though Carr has struggled over the past few years, he was still their best option heading into 2025. The Carolina Panthers meanwhile look to take a step forward with health back on their side as both sides of the ball were ravaged by injuries last season which hurt their ability to compete.

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NFC South Winner - My Pick

Atlanta Falcons (+230) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After the failed Kirk Cousins experiment, the Atlanta Falcons are now passing the torch to Michael Penix Jr who will be in a position to succeed while surrounded by one of the deepest groups of skill players in the league. Should Penix rejuvenate their offense, then the Falcons will be in a great position to contend for the division title. Especially if their defense rounds back into form after finishing last year ranked 26th in Def DVOA and 29th in Adj Sack Rate.

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How to Bet on the NFC South Winner

When looking to bet on a team to win the NFC South, it’s vital to factor in who they retained and added throughout the offseason. A team with continuity on both sides of the ball are in a great position to get off to a hot start as it helps limit the amount of variance in their contests. Should their additions also pan out, then that provides a team enough talent to help remain competitive throughout the season.

Another factor to consider is the team’s strength of schedule and situational spots. The easier the schedule, the higher the chance a team can string together their wins to help stay at the top of the division standings. Especially if they receive ample rest between their primetime and international games as it helps them avoid a potential let down spot.

How to Read NFC South Winner Odds

Before placing any type of wager, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. With the Falcons preseason odds listed at +230 to win the NFC South, then a $100 wager would profit you $230 if they win the division title.

If you wait to see if they build up a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (-145 for example), then you would need to wager $145 to profit $100. Always line shop before placing a wager as the odds for the same market can drastically vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the NFC South Winner

FanDuel Sportsbook has been one of the best apps to use for the NFL as they offer a wide range of markets and are quick to update their odds throughout the season. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel, then you can claim: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins after creating an account and winning your first wager of at least $5.

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NFC South Winner History

When a team wins the NFC South, they normally have a stranglehold over the division for a few years. Other than the Atlanta Falcons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints, and Carolina Panthers all won the division at least three times in a row from 2013-2024.

The division is also close in regard to total titles as the Buccaneers and Saints are tied for first at seven apiece while the Panthers are in third with five. The Atlanta Falcons are not too far behind the pack as they are in fourth with four total division titles.