Emeka Egbuka is favored to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
The Buccaneers and Seahawks are both 3-1
Kenneth Walker III has three touchdowns in four games
The Seahawks and Buccaneers will collide in an NFC battle on Sunday. Seattle is a field goal favorite at home and both teams enter at 3-1.
The Buccaneers are coming off a loss, but their stars have been outstanding this season. The Seahawks have been more balanced, but they have plenty of athletes who can make big plays.
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My favorite player prop in this game comes from a rookie receiver that is dominating in his first NFL season. Emeka Egbuka has 18 receptions for 282 yards to go with four touchdowns in 2025.
Egbuka’s receiving line is listed at 57.5 yards has cleared this line in three out of four games. He is coming off a 101 yard performance last week against Philadelphia.
Egbuka’s production is only going to increase with Mike Evans’ hamstring injury. Seattle currently has the second best defense in the league allowing just 16.8 points and 297 yards per contest.
Despite this, their passing defense is very average, and the Buccaneers should have passing success.
Chris Godwin return to the field also helpsb Egbuka because Seattle has more to worry about defensively. I think this will free up Egbuka down the field where he has been terrific so far in 2025.
Baker Mayfield has already targeted Egbuka 31 times which is an average of almost eight per contest. This shows the confidence Mayfield has in the rookie, and I think this will contine against the Seahawks.
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a top five wide receiver to start the NFL season, and I think Tampa Bay will struggle in the secondary. Smith-Njigba has cleared this line in every game this season, including a 124 yard performance in week one.
Smith-Njigba’s targets have declined, but the receiver creates explosive plays. He has 26 receptions for 402 yards and one touchdown in 2025.
Sam Darnold has been very impressive in his first year with Seattle and his favorite target is JSN. In four games, Smith-Njigba has been targeted 34 times and this should continue.
Smith-Njigba is one of the best route runners in the league, and his ability to create separation is outstanding. This prop could cash on just a few catches as Smith-Njigba has been catching a ton of deep passes.
The Buccaneers rank 11th in pass defense, so Seattle will have to find a way to get Smith-Njigba the ball in space. If they execute, JSN will surpass his receiving line.
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Kenneth Walker III has been partially splitting carries with Zach Charbonnet, but it’s clear Seattle has more trust in the power back. He’s been the main weapon for the Seahawks and has 244 rushing yards to go with three touchdowns in four games.
Walker is coming off a game against Arizona where he didn’t find the endzone, but the week prior he scored twice against New Orleans. He also scored against the Steelers, one of the best rush defenses in the league.
Tampa Bay has one of the best rush defenses in the league as they are only allowing 85 rushing yards per contest. Thankfully for us, we just need Walker to score a touchdown and I expect him to get carries around the goal line.
Outside of Smith-Njigba, Walker is the focus in the red-zone for the Seahawks, and I think they will rely on him to finish drives. Walker is also a great pass-catching running back, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he scored through the air.
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