NFL Win Totals Over/Under Predictions 2025: Buffalo Bills Atop the Win Total Line

• The Kansas City Chiefs led the NFL in wins in 2024, going 15-2. 

• There are seven teams with a win total line of 10 wins or more. 

• No team has a win total line of less than 5.5.

The NFL preseason is underway with the Hall of Fame game taking place on July 31. The NFL regular season begins on September 4 as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Dallas Cowboys. 

Below are the current odds for every NFL team’s win total line as the preseason gets underway.

NFL Win Totals Odds

The odds below are courtesy of the Caesars Sportsbook. Sign up for a Caesars account with promo code WSN20X and claim the following welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Next 20 Bets.

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NFL Win Totals Predictions

Below are my top four best bets when betting on NFL win totals. 

• New England Patriots Over 8.5 Wins (+100): I like this wager a lot, given the +100 value. The Patriots are coming off a poor season, but they have a new head coach who’s been successful, a promising young quarterback, a new left tackle, a new running back, a veteran wide receiver, and really, an extremely easy schedule. They’ll play against just four teams that went to the playoffs across five games (Bills twice). They’ll also play against some of the lowest projected win total teams like the Browns, Saints, Titans, and Panthers. 

• Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 Wins (-130): The Steelers have officially landed Aaron Rodgers, giving them their best quarterback since Ben Roethlisberger. He has an excellent WR1 with D.K. Metcalf. Since Mike Tomlin became head coach in 2007, the Steelers have had eight wins or fewer just three times. Now they’ll have a Hall of Fame quarterback? Sign me up. 

• New York Giants Over 5.5 Wins (+110): Again, this line feels too low. Do I think the Giants will win double-digit games? No, but they have stability at quarterback with Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston is the backup, and they have a promising rookie in Jaxson Dart as their QB3. Their defense alone, especially the defensive line with Kayvon Thibodeaux, Brian Burns, Dexter Lawrence, and now Abdul Carter, should win them some games. This roster has more stability and still has an excellent head coach, Brian Daboll. They’ll win seven or more. They need to win for Daboll and GM Joe Schoen to keep their jobs. 

• Denver Broncos Over 9.5 Wins (+100): The Broncos won 10 games last year, and in 2025, they have Bo Nix in his second season of action. Additionally, they have tight end Evan Engram, who will be an excellent red zone threat. They should also see an improved running game with RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins, along with some defensive upgrades. Those defensive upgrades include first-round draft choice Jahdae Barron, who will man the nickel spot and work in the secondary alongside Riley Moss, Patrick Surtain II, and new safety Talanoa Hufanga. This will be a tough team to beat in 2025.

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Who Will Lead the 2024 NFL Season in Wins - Buffalo Bills

The Bills addressed their defense massively at the 2025 NFL Draft, securing talent at linebacker, cornerback, and defensive line. This helps fill their holes from last season, while the offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, will continue to put up points.

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How to Bet on NFL Win Totals

There are a couple of ways in which you can bet on NFL win totals. 

The first are the markets seen above—the over/under amount on a specific set line. Alternatively, some sportsbooks will allow multiple options for over/under lines. For example, the Patriots may have a set line of 8.5, but there would be an option to bet on “Over 10.5” for even better odds value-wise if you believe in them to that extent. 

To add, you can, of course, wager on each NFL game to complement your futures bets. 

How to Read NFL Win Total Odds

Here’s how to read NFL odds. For this exercise, I’ll examine it through the lens of winning $100 or wagering $100. 

• With “+” odds, you’ll win the amount displayed as the odds with a successful $100 bet. For example, the Patriots are +115. You’d win $115 with a winning $100 bet. 

• With ‘-” odds, you must wager the amount associated with the odds to win $100. So, if the Patriots were -115, you’d need to wager $115 to win $100. 

Where to Bet on NFL Win Total Odds

BetMGM Sportsbook: As a new player, you eligible to claim their current promo offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*. Just remember to use our promo code WSNSPORTS during registration. Also, BetMGM offers some free-to-play games to earn bonus bets, and there are a plethora of NFL futures bets, including win totals. Please refer to our BetMGM Sportsbook review if you need more details.

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FanDuel Sportsbook: FanDuel provides players with the following welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. There are ample ways to bet on NFL win totals, including each team’s set line and alternative lines. We dive into much more detail in our FanDuel Sportsbook review.

Caesars Sportsbook: In addition to the best odds boosts you’ll find at online sports betting sites, Caesars Sportsbook provides players with a generous welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Next 20 Bets after you use our promo code WSN20X during the registration process. Read our detailed Caesars Sportsbook review and get more info.

NFL Win Total Leader History

Below, we’ll go back through 2010 to see which team(s) led the league in wins each season. 

It’s worth noting that, over this time, the regular season switched from 16 games to 17 games. The regular season expanded to 17 games in 2021. 

While we’re not going back over the course of NFL history, here’s a complete breakdown of how the schedule has changed since 1967. 

• 1967-1977: 14 games

• 1978-1981: 16 games

• 1982: Nine games (strike)

• 1983-1986: 16 games

• 1987: 15 games (strike)

• 1988-1989: 16 games, no bye week

• 1990-1992: 16 games, one bye week

• 1993: 16 games, two bye weeks

• 1994-2000: 16 games, one bye week

• 2001: 16 games, two bye weeks (September 11 attack)

• 2002-2020: 16 games, one bye week

• 2021-Present: 17 games, one bye week