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NFL Win Totals Over/Under Predictions 2025: Patriots and Broncos Smashed Projections

Updated: December 9, 2025, 09:25 AM ET
7 min read
  • The New England Patriots (11-2) and Denver Broncos (11-2) effectively secured the "Over" on their preseason win totals weeks ahead of schedule.

  • The Kansas City Chiefs (6-7) saw their win total projection collapse completely after falling below .500 with only four games remaining.

  • Despite holding a strong 9-4 record, the Indianapolis Colts saw their live win total ceiling lowered significantly following the season-ending injury to quarterback Daniel Jones.

NFL Win Totals Odds

The odds below are courtesy of FanDuel. Sign up for FanDuel account and claim your welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

FanDuel is among the best NFL betting sites for betting on win totals and other NFL futures markets.

TeamWin TotalOver OddsUnder OddsSeason Opening Win Total
Arizona Cardinals3.5-450
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+350
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8.5
Atlanta Falcons5.5-120
BET HERE
+100
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7.5
Baltimore Ravens7.5-250
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+200
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11.5
Buffalo Bills11.5-180
BET HERE
+155
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11.5
Carolina Panthers7.5-550
BET HERE
+420
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6.5
Chicago Bears9.5-1900
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+900
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8.5
Cincinnati Bengals5.5-550
BET HERE
+420
BET HERE
9.5
Cleveland Browns3.5-240
BET HERE
+200
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4.5
Dallas Cowboys7.5-550
BET HERE
+410
BET HERE
7.5
Denver Broncos12.5-210
BET HERE
+175
BET HERE
9.5
Detroit Lions9.5-430
BET HERE
+330
BET HERE
10.5
Green Bay Packers10.5-550
BET HERE
+420
BET HERE
9.5
Houston Texans10.5-250
BET HERE
+210
BET HERE
9.5
Indianapolis Colts8.5-250
BET HERE
+210
BET HERE
7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars10.5-1250
BET HERE
+750
BET HERE
7.5
Kansas City Chiefs9.5-410
BET HERE
+330
BET HERE
11.5
Las Vegas Raiders2.5-210
BET HERE
+175
BET HERE
6.5
Los Angeles Chargers9.5-750
BET HERE
+550
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9.5
Los Angeles Rams12.5-210
BET HERE
+175
BET HERE
9.5
Miami Dolphins6.5-650
BET HERE
+480
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8.5
Minnesota Vikings5.5-460
BET HERE
+360
BET HERE
8.5
New England Patriots12.5-490
BET HERE
+380
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8.5
New Orleans Saints4.5-165
BET HERE
+140
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5.5
New York Giants3.5-210
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+175
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5.5
New York Jets3.5-210
BET HERE
+175
BET HERE
5.5
Philadelphia Eagles11.5-1150
BET HERE
+650
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11.5
Pittsburgh Steelers8.5-160
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+135
BET HERE
8.5
San Francisco 49ers10.5-750
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+500
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10.5
Seattle Seahawks11.5-1050
BET HERE
+700
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8.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers8.5-550
BET HERE
+410
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9.5
Tennessee Titans2.5-200
BET HERE
+170
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5.5
Washington Commanders3.5-400
BET HERE
+320
BET HERE
9.5

Who Will Lead the 2025 NFL Season in Wins - New England Patriots

The Patriots (11-2) have been the season's biggest surprise, surging to the top of the AFC under first-year head coach Mike Vrabel. They are currently on a 10-game winning streak and hold the No. 1 seed in the conference. Their success is driven by the breakout MVP-caliber play of quarterback Drake Maye, who leads the league in passer rating and completion percentage. However, some analysts caution that they have played a relatively soft schedule, which could be tested down the stretch.

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Nfl Win Totals

How to Bet on NFL Win Totals

There are a couple of ways in which you can bet on NFL win totals. 

The first are the markets seen above—the over/under amount on a specific set line. Alternatively, some sportsbooks will allow multiple options for over/under lines. For example, the Patriots may have a set line of 8.5, but there would be an option to bet on “Over 10.5” for even better odds value-wise if you believe in them to that extent. 

To add, you can, of course, wager on each NFL game to complement your futures bets. 

How to Read NFL Win Total Odds

Here’s how to read NFL odds. For this exercise, I’ll examine it through the lens of winning $100 or wagering $100. 

  • With “+” odds, you’ll win the amount displayed as the odds with a successful $100 bet. For example, the Patriots are +115. You’d win $115 with a winning $100 bet. 

  • With ‘-” odds, you must wager the amount associated with the odds to win $100. So, if the Patriots were -115, you’d need to wager $115 to win $100. 

Where to Bet on NFL Win Total Odds

FanDuel Sportsbook: FanDuel provides players with the following welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. There are ample ways to bet on NFL win totals, including each team’s set line and alternative lines.

Caesars Sportsbook: In addition to the best odds boosts you’ll find at online sports betting sites, Caesars Sportsbook provides players with a generous welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Next 20 Bets after you use our promo code WSN20X during the registration process. Read our detailed Caesars Sportsbook review and get more info.

BetMGM Sportsbook: As a new player, you eligible to claim their current promo offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*. Just remember to use our promo code WSNSPORTS during registration. Also, BetMGM offers some free-to-play games to earn bonus bets, and there are a plethora of NFL futures bets, including win totals.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

NFL Win Total Leader History

Below, we’ll go back through 2010 to see which team(s) led the league in wins each season. 

It’s worth noting that, over this time, the regular season switched from 16 games to 17 games. The regular season expanded to 17 games in 2021. 

While we’re not going back over the course of NFL history, here’s a complete breakdown of how the schedule has changed since 1967. 

  • 1967-1977: 14 games

  • 1978-1981: 16 games

  • 1982: Nine games (strike)

  • 1983-1986: 16 games

  • 1987: 15 games (strike)

  • 1988-1989: 16 games, no bye week

  • 1990-1992: 16 games, one bye week

  • 1993: 16 games, two bye weeks

  • 1994-2000: 16 games, one bye week

  • 2001: 16 games, two bye weeks (September 11 attack)

  • 2002-2020: 16 games, one bye week

  • 2021-Present: 17 games, one bye week

YearTeamsRecord
2024Kansas City Chiefs15-2
2023Baltimore Ravens13-4
2022San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs14-3
2021Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers13-4
2020Kansas City Chiefs14-2
2019Baltimore Ravens14-2
2018New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams13-3
2017Pittsburgh Steelers, New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, Philadelphia Eagles13-3
2016New England Patriots14-2
2015Carolina Panthers15-1
2014Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, New England Patriots12-4
2013Seattle Seahawks13-3
2012Atlanta Falcons13-3
2011Green Bay Packers15-1
2010New England Patriots14-2

Most NFL Win Totals FAQ

What happens if the NFL win total I wagered on is on a team that plays less than 17 games in the regular season?

Can NFL win totals be parlayed together?

Is it better to wager on NFL win totals before or during the season?

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NFL
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Online Sports Betting
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: richard.janvrin@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
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Experience: 9 years
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