Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Negative Regression Looms Large Over Juuse Saros

With Nashville’s back line struggling to defend their net, negative regression looms large over Juuse Saros as the Predators goalie will be under a relentless amount of pressure in Tuesday night’s contest against Tampa Bay. Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards New Jersey and Colorado as the Avalanche defense have the opportunity to put together a dominant performance in a matchup against the underwhelming Devils offense.

Best NHL Prop Bets Today, October 28

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville Predators - Prop Bets (7:45 PM, EST)

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Total Over 3 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Tampa Bay Lightning’s resurgence on offense has played a major role in their recent success as their front line heads into Tuesday night’s contest against Nashville ranked top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their playmaking helps create wider shooting lanes in front of the net which increases their chances of scoring as six players currently average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

With the Predators back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, the Lightning are in a favorable position to light up the scoreboard. Even with Juuse Saros averaging just 2.69 Goals Against per game, the Lightning’s versatility will have him constantly scrambling across the crease which opens up wider gaps in his net. Increase your risk and escalator bet the Lightning’s team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.

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Jake Guentzel Anytime Goal Scorer (+165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jake Guentzel has excelled at pressuring the net as the Lightning forward is averaging 0.82 Expected Goals per game. With the Predators back line struggling in coverage, Guentzel will see an uptick in his total volume of shot attempts which increases his chances of scoring. For some more exposure, split your wager and place half of it on Guentzel to clear the over on his Shots on Goal prop as well.

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New Jersey Devils vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)

New Jersey Devils Team Total Under 2.5 (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the New Jersey Devils possess the most points in the league, their offense has struggled to play at a competitive level as the Presidents’ Trophy contenders rank 19th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.23 Expected Goals per game. Other than Jack Hughes, no one on the Devils roster averages more than three Shots on Goal per game which hurts their ability to spread out opposing back lines.

In Tuesday’s contest against Colorado, the Devils will continue to struggle to score as they face off against a Avalanche back line who leads the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Scott Wedgewood anchoring their net as the Avs goalie is averaging just 2.42 Goals Against per game and a .904 Save Percentage. With his back line consistently lessening the quality of New Jersey’s Shots on Goal, expect Wedgewood to wall them off and hold the Devils under their team total.

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New York Rangers vs. Vancouver Canucks - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Vancouver Canucks Team Total Under 3 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Like the Devils, the Vancouver Canucks front line have also severely underwhelmed as their offense is averaging less than three Expected Goals per game. Their inability to create space will make it easier for the New York Rangers to stay in front of the puck which will drastically lessen the quality of Vancouver’s shot attempts. Should the total on the Canucks team total drop down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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