Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Wild Defense

With Filip Gustavsson struggling to mask his back line's low level of play with his own individual production in net, expect the Pittsburgh Penguins to light up the scoreboard as their offense excels at generating high-quality shots on goal. Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Edmonton Oilers as their defense will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance in a favorable matchup against the New York Rangers.

Best NHL Prop Bets Today, October 30

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Minnesota Wild - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Pittsburgh Penguins Team Total Over 2.5 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Heading into the year, the Pittsburgh Penguins were considered a longshot to compete for the division title per their preseason odds to win the Metropolitan. As of writing, the Penguins are tied for first after a 7-2-2 start to the season. Their offense has played a major role in their hot start as their front line ranks near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.64 Expected Goals per game.

In Thursday night’s matchup against Minnesota, the Penguins front line will be able to consistently pressure the Wild’s net as they face off against a back line who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against. Especially with Filip Gustavsson struggling to recapture last year’s success as the Wild goalie is averaging 3.42 Goals Against per game and a .890 Save Percentage. Should the Penguins team total climb up to a flat three, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Bryan Rust Anytime Goal Scorer (+210) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Bryan Rust has played a key role in Pittsburgh’s resurgence on offense as the Penguins forward is currently averaging 0.51 Expected Goals and 2.44 Shots on Goal per game. With the Wild back line struggling to stay in front of the puck when they shift their coverage across the ice, Rust will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of finding the back of the net.

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New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers - Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)

New York Rangers Team Total Under 2.5 (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After playing at a very high level on offense last year, the New York Rangers front line have struggled to carry over their momentum into this season as they currently rank 25th in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their lack of versatility hurts their chances of creating high-quality shooting lanes in front of the net as only four Rangers average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on offense are poised to persist in a matchup against the Edmonton Oilers as the Stanley Cup contenders back line excels at smothering opposing shot attempts. Even with Stuart Skinner averaging a Save Percentage of just .898, expect the Oilers goalie to round back into form and hold the Rangers under their team total with his back line consistently lessening the quality of their Shots on Goal.

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Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Calgary Flames Team Total Under 2.5 (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a rough start to the year for Linus Ullmark as the Ottawa Senators goalie is averaging 3.44 Goals Against per game. Luckily for Ullmark, Calgary’s lack of playmaking will help him find his footing as the Flames offense ranks well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with the Senators back line excelling in coverage as their ability to disrupt the shooter will increase Ullmark’s chances of walling off their Shots on Goal.

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