With the Anaheim Ducks back line underwhelming in coverage, Dylan Larkin and the Detroit Red Wings offense are in a favorable position to consistently pressure their net. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Colorado Avalanche as their back line has a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance by smothering the Buffalo Sabres who struggle with generating high quality Shots on Goal.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | Odds | Claim Up to $1,500 First Bet Offer at BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings Team Total Over 3 | -175 | CLAIM HERE |
| Dylan Larkin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | -145 | CLAIM HERE |
| Buffalo Sabres Team Total Under 2.5 | -140 | CLAIM HERE |
| Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer | +135 | CLAIM HERE |
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After ranking in the top half of the board in most offensive metrics last year, the Detroit Red Wings have been able to carry over their success into this season as their front line ranks top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their versatility helps open up higher quality shooting lanes in front of the opposing net as six Red Wings currently average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
In Thursday night’s contest against Anaheim, the Red Wings offense will have a great opportunity to light up the scoreboard as the Ducks back line ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Lukas Dostal playing at a very high level, the Red Wings pressure will have him scrambling across the crease which will open up wider gaps beside him in his net. Should the Red Wings team total climb up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Dylan Larkin has played a key role in Detroit’s success on offense this season as the Red Wings captain is averaging 0.47 Expected Goals and 3.19 Shots on Goal per game. With the Ducks struggling to defend their net as previously mentioned, Larkin will be able to rifle off a higher volume of shot attempts which increases his chances of generating a Shot on Goal. For some more exposure, escalator bet Larkin’s Shots on Goal prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.
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After re-tooling their defense, the Colorado Avalanche back line have been in a tier of their own as the Stanley Cup contenders lead the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.83 Expected Goals Against per game. Their production on defense has helped Scott Wedgewood get off to a hot start as the Avs goalie is averaging just 2.26 Goals Against per game and a .913 Save Percentage.
Fortunately for Wedgewood, he will be able to build on his momentum in Thursday’s matchup against Buffalo as he faces off against a Sabres front line who struggles to generate high quality Shots on Goal as their below league average mark in Expected Goals For indicates. Especially with his back line consistently lessening the quality of their shot attempts with their suffocating coverage as this will increase Wedgewood’s chances of walling them off for the full duration of the contest.
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It has been an abysmal start to the year for the Columbus Blue Jackets as their defense currently ranks 32nd in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in High Danger Shots. With the Blue Jackets back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, positive regression looms large over the Oilers supporting cast which will help stretch out their coverage and create wider shooting lanes for Connor McDavid to exploit.
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