Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Penguins to Clear the Over on Their Team Total

Heading into Friday night, the Minnesota Wild’s struggles on defense are poised to persist as they face off against the Pittsburgh Penguins who generate high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate. Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Carolina Hurricanes as their offense is in a great position to light up the scoreboard in a favorable matchup against the underwhelming Winnipeg Jets back line.

Best NHL Prop Bets Today, November 21

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Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Pittsburgh Penguins Team Total Over 2.5 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After ranking above league average in most key defensive metrics last year, the Minnesota Wild have fallen hard back down to reality as their back line ranks 20th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.24 Expected Goals Against per game. Their regression on defense has hurt Filip Gustavsson’s ability to play at a competitive level as the Wild starting goalie is averaging nearly three Goals Against per game and a .897 Save Percentage.

Unfortunately for Minnesota, the Wild will continue to struggle on defense against Pittsburgh as the Penguins front line resides near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations. With seven players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game, the Penguins versatility will have Gustavsson constantly scrambling across the crease which will open up wider gaps beside him in his net. Should the Penguins team total climb up to a flat three, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Sidney Crosby Anytime Goal Scorer (+175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even in his twilight years of his career, Sidney Crosby has been able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Penguins future hall of famer is averaging 0.43 Expected Goals and 2.21 Shots on Goal per game. With the Wild back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, Crosby will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal when he blitzes through their coverage which increases his chances of scoring.

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Carolina Hurricanes vs. Winnipeg Jets - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Carolina Hurricanes Team Total Over 3 (-185) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes front line have been one of the more dominant units in the league as the Presidents’ Trophy contenders currently rank top-2 in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. A majority of their production stems from their top line as Sebastian Aho, Seth Jarvis, and Andrei Svechnikov all average more than 0.35 Expected Goals per game.

In Friday night’s contest against Winnipeg, expect the Hurricanes to build on their momentum as they face off against a Jets defense who ranks 27th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 29th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Hurricanes team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Chicago Blackhawks vs. Buffalo Sabres - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Connor Bedard Anytime Goal Scorer (+155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Chicago Blackhawks front line have struggled as a whole, Connor Bedard has been able to generate high quality Shots on Goal as he is averaging 0.45 Expected Goals per game. With the Buffalo Sabres underwhelming in coverage as their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play indicates, Bedard’s linemates will be able to rifle off a higher volume of shot attempts which will help stretch out their coverage and open higher quality shooting lanes in front of their net.

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