With the Buffalo Sabres back line underwhelming in coverage, the surging Winnipeg Jets offense will have the opportunity to put together a dominant performance as they will be able to consistently pressure their net. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Utah Mammoth as they face off against the San Jose Sharks who continue to struggle with generating high quality Shots on Goal.
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After winning the Presidents’ Trophy last year, the Winnipeg Jets have failed to carry over their success into this season as they are currently listed near the bottom of the overall standings with a 13-11-0 record. While their lack of coverage on defense has played a major role in their struggles, their offense has quietly been very productive as their front line ranks top-12 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Heading into Monday night, the Jets offense will have the opportunity to build on their momentum as they face off against the Buffalo Sabres who rank below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Alex Lyon struggling to defend their net as the Sabres goalie is averaging over three Goals Against per game and a .899 Save Percentage. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Jets team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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While Kyle Connor is pulling defensive attention away from him, Gabriel Vilardi has been able to capitalize on the wider shooting lanes his linemate provides as the Jets forward is averaging 0.43 Expected Goals per game. With the Sabres back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, Vilardi is in a great position to score as he will be able to generate high quality Shots in Goal in front of the crease for the full duration of the contest.
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It has been an abysmal start to the year for the San Jose Sharks front line as their offense currently ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.87 Expected Goals per game. Their lack of versatility hurts their chances of creating space to help break through the back line as no one on the Sharks roster averages more than three Shots on Goal per game.
Unfortunately for the Sharks, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against the Utah Mammoth who excel at defending their net as their top-15 mark in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play indicates. With Utah’s back line drastically lessening the quality of the Sharks Shots on Goal, Karel Vejmelka will be able to consistently wall them off as the Mammoth goalie is averaging just 2.74 Goals Against per game. Should Vitek Vanecek get the start in net instead, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Since Jack Hughes went down with an injury, Timo Meier has been able to mask his teammates loss of production as the New Jersey Devils forward is averaging 0.49 Expected Goals and 3.20 Shots on Goal per game. With the Columbus Blue Jackets ranking near dead last in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Meier will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts near the net which increases his chances of scoring.
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