With the Toronto Maple Leafs Anthony Stolarz failing to protect their net, the Carolina Hurricanes will have a great opportunity to clear the over of their team total as their offense excels at creating pressure. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Edmonton Oilers as their struggles on offense are poised to persist in a matchup against the Seattle Kraken who thrive in coverage.
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Since the start of the regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes odds to win the Stanley Cup have steadily grown as they are currently 16-7-2 and are in fourth place in the overall standings. Their offense has played a major role in their hot start to the year as the Hurricanes rank third overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.91 Expected Goals per game.
In a conference matchup against the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Hurricanes front line are in a great position to light up the scoreboard as they face off against a defense who ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Anthony Stolarz struggling in their net as the Maple Leafs goalie is averaging nearly four Goals Against per game. Factor in the Hurricanes grading out equally as well on defense and their advantages on both sides of the ice will help them cover the puck line.
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Seth Jarvis has played a key role in Carolina’s success on offense this season as the Hurricanes forward is averaging 0.54 Expected Goals and 3.16 Shots on Goal per game. With the Hurricanes aggression forcing Stolarz to scramble across the ice, Jarvis will be able to continue to generate high quality Shots on Goal in front of the crease and score his 16th goal of the season.
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It has been a turbulent past few weeks of play for the Edmonton Oilers as they have struggled to break .500 after going 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. Their lack of production on offense brings in a higher amount of variance into their contests as the Oilers front line ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility makes it easier for opposing defenses to shift their coverage as only four players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Unfortunately for the Oilers, their struggles on offense will be on full display against Seattle as they face off against a defense who resides near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With his back line smothering the Oilers Shots on Goal, expect Joey Daccord to wall them off as the Kraken goalie is averaging just 2.68 Goals Against per game and a .902 Save Percentage. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Oilers team total by placing smaller wagers on his alternate unders.
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When at full health, Artturi Lehkonen has been able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Colorado Avalanche forward is averaging 0.55 Expected Goals per game. With the New York Islanders struggling in coverage as their dead last mark in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots indicates, Lehkonen will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.
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