With the Toronto Maple Leafs back line excelling in coverage, expect the Chicago Blackhawks to be held under their team total as they lack the versatility that is needed to create high quality scoring opportunities. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards Mika Zibanejad as the New York Rangers forward is in a favorable position to score as he faces off against the Vancouver Canucks who struggle to defend their net.
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Even with Anthony Stolarz out with an injury, the Toronto Maple Leafs have been able to play at competitive level as Dennis Hildeby is averaging just 2.72 Goals Against per game and a .923 Save Percentage. The Maple Leafs back line have played a major role in Hildeby’s success this season as the Stanley Cup contenders rank above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.28 Expected Goals Against per game.
Heading into Tuesday night, Hildeby will be able to build on his momentum as he faces off against the Chicago Blackhawks who rank near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with the Blackhawks lacking the fire power that is needed to scramble their coverage as only Connor BeDard averages more than three Shots on Goal per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Blackhawks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate team totals.
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On the other side of the ice, Auston Matthews has excelled at creating pressure in front of the crease as the Maple Leafs captain averages 0.55 Expected Goals per game. With the Blackhawks residing near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, Matthews will be able to continue to generate high quality scoring opportunities and score his 14th goal of the season.
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Since the start of the regular season, the Anaheim Ducks front line have been one of the more productive units in the league as their offense ranks top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.57 Expected Goals per game through the first two months of the season. Their versatility helps create wider shooting lanes in front of the net for their forwards to exploit as seven players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets, the Ducks front line will be able to put together a dominant performance as they face off against a defense who ranks 30th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. Even with Jet Greaves playing at a very high level, negative regression looms large over the Blue Jackets goalie as he will be tasked with walling off a high volume of Shots on Goal. Should the Ducks team total climb up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Even though the New York Rangers have struggled as a whole, Mika Zibanejad has still been able to thrive as he averages 0.44 Expected Goals and 3.00 Shots on Goal per game. With the Vancouver Canucks back line conceding nearly four Expected Goals Against per game, expect Zibanejad to consistently exploit their gaps in coverage and pressure their net for the full duration of the contest.
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