With Juuse Saros expected to get the start in net for Nashville, the Carolina Hurricanes will be able to light up the scoreboard as the Predators goalie has struggled to play at competitive level. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the New Jersey Devils as negative regression looms large over their offense in their matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights as they face off against a back line who excels in coverage.
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Through the first two months of the year, the Carolina Hurricanes front line have been one of the more formidable units in the league as the Stanley Cup contenders rank second overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their depth makes it easier for their front line to pressure the net for the full duration of their contests as six players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Nashville Predators, expect the Hurricanes to score at a blistering fast rate as they face off against a back line who ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Juuse Saros struggling to give them the production they need to help limit the amount of variance in their contests as the Predators goalie is averaging a Save Percentage of .897.
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Since the start of the regular season, Seth Jarvis has been able to consistently create pressure in front of the crease as the Hurricanes forward is averaging 0.52 Expected Goals and 3.19 Shots on Goal per game. With the Predators back line struggling to mask Saros’s lack of production with their own underwhelming coverage, expect Jarvis to continue to generate high quality Shots on Goal and score his 19th goal of the season.
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After residing near the top of the board in most offensive metrics last year, the New Jersey Devils have struggled to carry over their success into this season as their front line ranks 18th in Expected Goals For in All Situations. With Timo Meier and Jack Hughes out with an injury, the Devils lack the firepower that is needed to keep opposing goaltenders constantly scrambling between the pipes as no one on their active roster averages more than three Shots on Goal per game.
Heading into Wednesday night, expect the Devils struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against the Vegas Golden Knights who rank top-2 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.88 Expected Goals Against per game. With their back line lessening the quality of the Devils Shots on Goal, Akira Schmid will be able to consistently wall them off as the Golden Knights goalie is averaging just 2.33 Goals Against per game.
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With Dylan Larkin pulling defensive attention away from him, Alex DeBrincat has been able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Detroit Red Wings forward is averaging 0.52 Expected Goals per game. In a matchup against the Utah Mammoth, expect DeBrincat to continue to take advantage of the high quality shooting lanes his linemate provides as he faces off against a back line who ranks near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against Form High Danger Shots.
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