With the Winnipeg Jets defense failing to recapture the same success they had last year, the Colorado Avalanche will have the opportunity to light up the scoreboard by consistently exploiting their gaps in coverage. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Dallas Stars as their offense faces off against the Anaheim Ducks who struggle to stay in front of the puck.
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Since the start of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche have quickly built a case for being the best team in the league as the Avs are comfortably in first place in the Presidents’ Trophy standings while listed at the top of the oddsboard to win the Stanley Cup. Their offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Avs lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.
Heading into Friday night, expect the Avs to continue to build on their momentum as they face off against the Winnipeg Jets who reside near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with Connor Hellebuyck anchoring their net, the Avs versatility will have him constantly shifting across the crease as seven players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Avs team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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After competing for the Hart Memorial Trophy last year, Nathan MacKinnon is currently in the mix to win the award this season as the Avs center is averaging 0.53 Expected Goals and 4.73 Shots on Goal per game. With the Jets struggling in coverage, MacKinnon will be able to consistently blitz through their back line and generate high quality Shots on Goal in front of the net for the full duration of the contest.
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After re-tooling their front line in the offseason, the Dallas Stars offense have played at a very high level as they currently rank above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in Expected Goals From High Danger Shots. Their top two lines have generated a majority of their production as Roope Hintz, Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston, and Mikko Rantanen all average more than 0.40 Expected Goals.
In a favorable matchup against Anaheim, the Stars front line will be able to put together a dominant performance as they face off against a Ducks defense who ranks 30th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.69 Expected Goals Against per game. Especially with Petr Mrazek expected to get the start in net as the Ducks goalie is averaging 3.69 Goals Against per game and a .876 Save Percentage. Should Lukas Dostal get the start instead, then reduce the size of your wager.
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After a slow start to the year, Anders Lee has been able to elevate the New York Islanders offense as he is currently averaging 0.49 Expected Goals per game. With the Vancouver Canucks struggling to defend their net as their near dead last mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play indicates, Lee will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.
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