Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Stars Back Line Against Detroit

With the Detroit Red Wings front line pressuring the net at a high rate, their offense will have the opportunity to light up the scoreboard on Tuesday night as they face off against the Dallas Stars who struggle to stay in front of the puck. Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the New York Rangers as negative regression looms large in their matchup against Logan Thompson as he currently leads the league in most goalie metrics.

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Dallas Stars vs. Detroit Red Wings - Prop Bets (6:30 PM, EST)

Detroit Red Wings Team Total Over 2.5 (-160) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, the Detroit Red Wings have been able to build on their lead in the Atlantic division standings and possess a two point lead for first at the halfway point of the season. Their offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Presidents’ Trophy contenders rank seventh overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.59 Expected Goals per game.

Heading into Tuesday night, expect the Red Wings to put together a dominant performance as they face off against the Dallas Stars who reside in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with Jake Oettinger playing at a very high level, the Red Wings versatility will have the Stars goalie constantly shifting between the pipes as six players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. Should the Red Wings team total climb up to three, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Alex DeBrincat Anytime Goal Scorer (+150) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Alex DeBrincat has been able to consistently pressure the net as the Red Wings forward averages 0.52 Expected Goals and 3.65 Shots on Goal per game. With Dylan Larkin pulling defensive attention away from him, expect DeBrincat to continue to exploit the gaps in coverage his teammate provides and generate high quality Shots on Goal for the full duration of the contest.

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New York Rangers vs. Washington Capitals - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

New York Rangers Team Total Under 2.5 (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After ranking near the top of the board in most offensive metrics last year, the New York Rangers have struggled to carry over their success into this season as they currently rank 21st in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of aggression makes it easier for opposing back lines to shift their coverage to cut off their shooting lanes as only Artemi Panarin averages more than three Shots on Goal per game.

Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on offense are poised to persist against Washington as they face off against a Capitals back line who ranks above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Logan Thompson protecting their net as the Vezina Trophy contender is averaging just 2.09 Goals Against per game and a .924 Save Percentage.  For some more exposure, escalator bet the Rangers team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders.

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Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers - Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)

Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer (+155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the Edmonton Oilers offense have underperformed per their preseason projections, Connor McDavid has still been able to thrive as the future hall of famer is averaging 0.51 Expected Goals per game. With the Calgary Flames struggling to defend their net, McDavid will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal while blitzing through their back line which increases his chances of scoring.

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