Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Positive Regression Looms Large Over the Capitals

After going 3-5-2 in their last ten games, positive regression looms large over the Washington Capitals on Monday night as they face off against the Anaheim Ducks who struggle to defend their net. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Utah Mammoth as their back line faces off against the New York Rangers who generate scoring opportunities in front of the crease at a very low rate.

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Washington Capitals Team Total Over 3 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After nearly winning the Presidents’ Trophy last year, the Washington Capitals have struggled to carry over their success into this season as they are currently in 11th place in the overall standings. Even though the Capitals are 3-5-2 in their last ten games, their offense has still played at a very high level as their front line ranks well above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Find the latest NHL Presidents' Trophy odds here.

Fortunately for the Capitals, they will have a great opportunity to round back into form on Monday night as they face off against the Anaheim Ducks who reside near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Lukas Dostal struggling to play at a competitive level as the Ducks' goalie is averaging 3.22 Goals Against per game and a .887 Save Percentage. Should the Capitals team total climb up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Tom Wilson Anytime Goal Scorer (+165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Tom Wilson has been able to generate high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate as the Capitals forward is averaging 0.42 Expected Goals per game. With the Ducks back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, Wilson will be able to rifle off a higher volume of shot attempts which increases his chances of finding the back of the net.

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Utah Mammoth vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

New York Rangers Team Total Under 3.5 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been an abysmal start to the year for the New York Rangers front line as their offense currently ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility makes it easier for opposing back lines to lessen the quality of their shooting lanes as only five players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

Heading into Monday night, expect the Rangers struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against the Utah Mammoth who rank eighth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With their back line smothering the Rangers shot attempts, Karel Vejmelka will be able to hold them off the scoreboard as the Mammoth goalie is averaging just 2.72 Goals Against per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Rangers team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders.

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Seattle Kraken vs. Calgary Flames - Prop Bets (9:30 PM, EST)

Nazem Kadri Anytime Goal Scorer (+170) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Calgary’s offense have severely underwhelmed as a whole, Nazem Kadri has been able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Flames center is averaging 0.29 Expected Goals and 2.98 Shots on Goal per game. With the Seattle Kraken ranking in the bottom ten in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Kadri’s linemates will be able generate higher quality Shots on Goal which will help create wider shooting lanes in front of the net for Kadri to exploit.

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