Best NHL Prop Bets Today: A Pair of Team Totals for Wednesday Night’s Slate

With the Toronto Maple Leafs continuing to fall down the board in Expected Goals Against, the Washington Capitals are in a great position to light the lamp and clear the over on their team total. Later in the night, positive regression looms large over the Edmonton Oilers back line as they face off against the San Jose Sharks who generate Expected Goals at a very low rate.

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Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

With only a handful of games left, the Washington Capitals must take advantage of their favorable matchup against the Toronto Maple Leafs to keep their hopes of making the playoffs alive.

Washington Capitals Team Total Over 3.5 (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After nearly winning the Presidents’ Trophy last year, the Washington Capitals have fallen hard back down to reality this season, sitting three points back from Ottawa for the last spot in the playoffs. While their defense has underperformed, their offense has been able to keep them afloat, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Fortunately for the Capitals, their front line will be able to build on their momentum against the Toronto Maple Leafs by exploiting a defense who ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Joseph Woll incapable of masking their struggles in coverage, averaging 3.32 Goals Against per game.

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Alexander Ovechkin Anytime Goal Scorer (+140) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Nearing the end of his career, Alexander Ovechkin has still been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.41 Expected Goals per game. With the Maple Leafs struggling to face guard, the width of Ovechkin’s shooting lanes in front of the crease will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goals when he blitzes through their back line.

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Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose Sharks - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

With the San Jose Sharks struggling to pressure the net, positive regression looms large over the Edmonton Oilers back line who have quietly been playing much better over the past few weeks.

San Jose Sharks Team Total Under 3.5 (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 5-4-1 in their last ten games, the San Jose Sharks have seen their odds to make the playoffs decline, now two points back from the Los Angeles Kings in the wildcard standings. Their lack of production on offense brings in a higher amount of negative variance into their contests, ranking 28th in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play.

Heading into Wednesday night, expect the Sharks struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against the Edmonton Oilers who have quietly leaped into the top half of the board in Expected Goals Against. With the Sharks lacking the versatility that is needed to stretch out their coverage, the Oilers will be able to keep a defender on their hips and smother their shots for the full duration of the contest.

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Buffalo Sabres vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

After being held without a goal in his last three games, expect Tage Thompson to round back into form against the New York Rangers by attacking a back line who underwhelms in coverage.

Tage Thompson Anytime Goal Scorer (+145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Tage Thompson has been a consistent source of production for the Buffalo Sabres, averaging 0.42 Expected Goals and 3.36 Shots on Goal per game. With the New York Rangers ranking in the bottom five in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Thompson will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in transition, increasing his chances of scoring.

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