With the Edmonton Oilers struggling in coverage, the Colorado Avalanche are in a great position to light up the scoreboard by relentlessly attacking their net.
Before their puck drop takes place, we turn our attention to the Tampa Bay Lightning as their back line will be able to put together a dominant performance by smothering the Detroit Red Wings who generate Expected Goals at a low rate.
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In a potential Western Conference Finals preview, the Colorado Avalanche will be able to overwhelm the Edmonton Oilers back line who struggle to stay in front of the puck.
After securing the Presidents’ Trophy, the Colorado Avalanche now turn their sights towards the Stanley Cup as they head into the playoffs listed as the betting favorite to win the title. Their high level of play on offense has played a major role in their success this season, fielding a front line who ranks second overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
See the latest Stanley Cup odds and predictions here.
In a highly anticipated matchup against the Edmonton Oilers, the Avs will be able to thrive by taking advantage of a back line who ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with the Oilers goalie Tristan Jarry incapable of walling off their assault, averaging 3.32 Goals Against per game.
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Since the start of the regular season, Nathan MacKinnon has been able to create high-quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, averaging 0.50 Expected Goals per game. With his supporting cast stretching out the Oilers back line, the width of MacKinnon’s shooting lanes in front of the net will widen, improving the quality of his shot attempts at multiple areas of the ice.
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With the Detroit Red Wings falling down the board in Expected Goals For, their lack of versatility will make it easier for the Tampa Bay Lightning to keep a defender near the vicinity of their shot attempts.
It has been an abysmal past few weeks for the Detroit Red Wings as they have been eliminated from playoff contention after going 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Their regression on offense made it hard for them to compete, ranking in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play.
Heading into Monday night, expect the Red Wings struggles on offense to persist as they face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning who excel in coverage per their top-10 mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Red Wings incapable of breaking away from their assignments, the Lightning will be able to consistently lessen the quality of their Shots on Goal, keeping them under their team total.
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With the San Jose Sharks five points back for the last wildcard spot, Macklin Celebrini must continue to play at a high level to keep their hopes of making the playoffs alive.
In just his second year in the league, Macklin Celebrini has turned the San Jose Sharks into a potential playoff contender, averaging 0.38 Expected Goals and 3.53 Shots on Goal per game. With the Nashville Predators ranking 21st in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Celebrini will be able to generate a higher volume of shots in front of the net when he blitzes through their back line, increasing his chances of scoring.
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