Olympic Hockey Prop Best Bets February 22nd

After losing to Canada in the Four Nations Face-Off Championship last year, team USA has the opportunity to get their revenge on Sunday as they battle it out against the Canadiens for the gold medal in the Winter Olympics. Unfortunately for the Americans, negative regression looms large over their offense with Canada’s back line excelling in coverage, leading to another second-place finish.

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Canada vs. USA - Prop Bets (8:10 AM, EST)

After severely underwhelming against Sweden in their first game of the knockout round, USA’s offense managed to round back into form by routing Slovakia 6-2 in the semifinals. Heading into the finals, expect USA’s front line to fall back down to reality as Canada’s suffocating coverage will consistently lessen the quality of their Shots on Goal.

USA Team Total Under 2.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Before the start of group play, it was widely expected team USA would face off against Canada in the finals as both teams were listed as the betting favorites to win the gold medal. While USA lacks the star power that Canada possesses, their depth puts them in a tier above the rest of the competition, fielding three lines who all generate Expected Goals at a very high rate which helps them pressure the net for the full duration of their contests.

In a highly anticipated matchup against Canada, expect USA’s front line to struggle to recapture the same success they had throughout the Winter Olympics as they battle it out against a defense who is capable of matching their speed to help stay in front of the puck. Especially with Logan Thompson projected to get the start in net for Canada as the Washington Capitals goalie ranks in the top-10 in average Goals Against per game. If Jordan Binnington gets the start in net instead, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer (+120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

In the Four Nations Face-Off championship, Connor McDavid sealed the deal by burying the game winner in overtime. Since that pivotal moment, McDavid has been able to continue to play at a high level as the Edmonton Oilers center is averaging 0.56 Expected Goals per game. With USA’s back line forced to pull away from the net to help slow down the red hot Macklin Celebrini, expect McDavid to take advantage of the single coverage he receives and generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in front of the crease.

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Canada Puck Line -1.5 (+225) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With clear advantages on both sides of the ice, Canada is in a great position to thwart their rivals in the finals for the second year in a row. Even with Connor Hellebuyck patrolling the net for USA, Canada’s versatility will have the reigning Hart Memorial Trophy winner scrambling between the pipes which lowers his chances of making a save. For some more exposure, escalator bet Canada’s puck line by placing smaller wagers on their alternate spreads at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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