PDC Home Tour Darts – Last 32, Group 4 Odds & Predictions [May 29]

• Dave Chisnall the hot favorite to progress to the Last 8
• Darren Webster and Damon Heta priced as his biggest rivals
• But young Dutchman Geert Nentjes could provide a Friday evening shock or two

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The second stage of the PDC Home Tour brings a slightly longer format with games now played over the best of 11 legs, rather than the first to five in the previous round. That should suit the higher ranked players, giving them a chance to rectify a poor start in matches.

The tournament continues with the fourth day of the Last 32 stage with the impressive Dave Chisnall taking on the challenge of Damon Heta, Darren Webster and Geert Nentjes. Chisnall has the game to go all the way and should progress on Friday evening.

Group Four Odds

Group win odds taken on May 29, from DraftKings and tournament win odds from bet365 NJ.

Chizzy Worth A Trophy Tickle

Dave Chisnall wasted no time on Night 3 of the tournament when he wrapped up three wins in what appeared a highly competitive group. Chizzy dropped only three legs in the process. The 39-year-old is world-ranked 11 and lived up to his favorites tag in the first round by sweeping aside Scott Waites 5-2, Jan Dekker 5-0 and Jonathan Worsley 5-1. It became easy pickings as he averaged 90.87 and threw eight 180s.

Chisnall had made a sluggish start to 2020 with a quarter-final defeat at The Masters in early February his best showing. He was the runner-up in the 2010 BDO world championship and has made the final of four PDC premier event tournaments, but never lifted the trophy. Perhaps throwing from his Morecambe home could be the stage he thrives on. In a format that allows an occasional defeat, Chisnall could prove a good bet to claim silverware at the final on 5 June.

Webster and Nentjes Not Easy Pickings

Darren Webster, the world No. 27, is Chisnall’s biggest rival on paper. The 51-year-old will hope to live up to his ‘Demolition Man’ nickname as he steps up to the oche in his Norwich home. He beat Bradley Brooks 5-4, Scott Baker 5-2 and Andy Hamilton 5-3 in a battling display to make this second stage. Webster trails Chisnall 4-3 in their seven career meetings and should provide stern competition, but whether he has the consistency to take the group is highly debatable.

It is Geert Nentjes that provides the threat of the unknown on Friday evening. The Spear won all three of his matches on Night 4 and the 21-year-old Dutchman is a rising star. Currently, 71 in the world rankings he shocked Micky Mansell 5-4, Lisa Ashton 5-3 and group favorite Ross Smith 5-3 in the group decider. He averaged a healthy 96.92 across his three wins and cannot be taken lightly.

The left-hander from Irk could easily cause an upset, although it may be too early in his career to get too invested financially in the youngster’s chances. He qualified for the last two PDC World Championships and in the 2020 event narrowly lost 3-2 to Kim Huybrechts on the biggest stage in darts. In his own living room on Friday he is definitely one to watch and possesses the surprise factor, having never faced any of his three opponents before. The relaxed home nature of this tournament could suit Nentjes and, priced as the outsider of the four players on Friday, he provides value to pick up at least one win.

Heta Will Have To Get Up Early To Challenge

Aussie Damon Heta was last year’s Brisbane Masters champion. It will be 4.30 am on Saturday in Perth when the darts gets underway. Heta may need more than one alarm clock and resilience against the lure of the snooze button. The Heat swept aside hot favorite No. 32 in the world John Henderson on Night 17. In the crunch game of the evening, Heta beat the out of sorts Scot 5-3 and slammed home a 121 finish for good measure. But it was a group where none of the four participants averaged over 88 and Heta, the lowest-ranked of Friday’s quartet at world 105, will have his work cut out to avoid the wooden spoon. Heta has never faced any of his three Friday evening opponents before and, as second favourite to win the group, the 32-year-old appears far too short a price. The betting value is elsewhere, but at least his bed is not far away once the last double is landed.

Our Picks

Chisnall should win this group but at odds-on in an event where we have seen many surprises, his price does not provide a great betting opportunity. Instead, take a small stake on him to lift the trophy at 10/1. The big hitters in the field are falling away and the path is clearing for a Chizzy trophy charge. Also, take Nentjes to beat the bleary-eyed Heta at +190.