PGA Memorial Tournament 2020 - Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- Monster-hitting Bryson DeChambeau (+1050) won his last event and can triumph at Muirfield Village for the second time in three visits.
- Danny Willett is back in form and can win a 72-hole matchup against Brandt Snedeker, who is 0-for-7 at this week’s course.
- Billy Horschel has four top 15s in his last six starts at Muirfield Village and is worth a bet at +333 to crack the top 20 once more.
|Where||Muirfield Village, Dublin, Ohio|
|When||Thursday, 16 July – Sunday, 19 July|
|How to watch||Thursday-Friday, 2.30 pm-6.30 pm ET (Golf Channel). Saturday 12.30pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-6pm (CBS), Sunday, 1pm-3.30pm (Golf Channel), 3.30pm-7pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
Last Sunday saw Collin Morikawa and Justin Thomas duel it out in a thrilling finish at the Workday Charity Open before Morikawa finally got it done at the third extra hole.
Those two are back for more but the big storyline is the return to action of Tiger Woods, who pegs it up on the PGA Tour for the first time in five months.
Woods is a five-time winner on the Jack Nicklaus layout although will have to adjust to the new norm of no spectators.
As for the course itself, tournament host Nicklaus notes:
It will be a little different this week. Greens will be a couple feet faster. Rough will be a week older and deeper.
That translates to tougher scoring than at last week when Morikawa and Thomas both shot 19-under in regulation play.
Memorial Tournament Odds
Odds taken from DraftKings
After last week’s near-miss, Justin Thomas is installed at the front of the betting, edging out Bryson DeChambeau although other books flip the front two. DeChambeau won this event two years ago while JT now has course form at Muirfield Village of 2-MC-8-4.
Rory McIlroy hasn’t found the same spark he showed before the break, finishing 32-41-11 in three June starts, while he has four top tens at Memorial although no top threes.
Tiger is quoted at +2500 in DraftKings for a sixth Memorial win. Those previous five came in 1999, 2000, 2001, 2009 and 2012 although he again showed his liking for the layout when T9 last year. It’s a big ask for Woods to win straight off the bat but let’s recall that he won last October’s ZOZO Championship following a lengthy absence.
For more golf betting tips check out expert bettor Bill Krackomberger share his golf betting knowledge on WSN’s Wise Kracks podcast.
Dechambeau Dialled in for Victory
While plenty of the big names – Dustin Johnson, Webb Simpson, Justin Thomas – have either won or gone mighty close since golf returned, the press conferences have been dominated by talk of Bryson DeChambeau and his big-hitting freak show.
DeChambeau is launching the ball ridiculous and unimagined distances, giving himself a serious advantage over the field, and his numbers have to be seen to be believed. His putter didn’t quite come along for the ride initially and he had to settle for 3-8-6 in his first three events. But when it clicked on the greens the 26-year-old powered his way to a three-stroke win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on his latest start two weeks ago.
It’s very easy to argue that he’s the world’s hottest player right now in which case it makes sense to leave some chips on the table and back him for another ‘W’ here.
DeChambeau has history when it comes to running up a sequence of wins and he hoisted the silverware three times in five starts on the PGA Tour in the second half of 2018. Prior to that run, he’d also won this very tournament when shooting 15-under and coming out on top in a three-man playoff. In other words, the lengthy Jack Nicklaus design looks a good fit for him and the reality confirms it.
Every golfer, even Tiger, gets asked one or two DeChambeau questions when interviewed and defending champion Patrick Cantlay gave this insight when discussing Bryson’s phenomenal hitting: “This would be a golf course that actually sets up really well for it. There’s a lot of bunkers that he can carry that other guy can’t.”
You get the sense that, if he putts well again, DeChambeau will be hard to beat and odds of +1050 could look a steal.
Willett Can Outgun Stuttering Snedeker
Sometimes it takes a little patience to work out the best match bet and, initially, there didn’t look much on this week as this column looks for its fifth straight winning bet in 72-hole head-to-heads.
But DraftKings have opened the door by putting Danny Willett as a very slight favorite to edge out Brandt Snedeker and the Englishman appears to hold all the aces.
Snedeker has missed three cuts and posted a modest T41 at the Travelers in the four events he’s contested in June/July. But, not only that, he has a horrible record at Muirfield Village, never making the cut in seven visits, a sequence extended last week when he crashed out after shooting 72-71 in the Workday Charity Open.
By contrast, Willett has found some form again after finishing tied fourth in the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He’ll bring that confidence boost to a Muirfield Village layout where he was T27 on debut last year (T10 at halfway).
The room off the tee, importance of iron play and fast greens bring Augusta National to mind and, of course, that was the scene of Willett’s finest hour when he won the green jacket in 2016.
Horschel a Bet in Top 20 Market
The idea of a course horse definitely plays out well at Muirfield Village and gives us a few opportunities in the side markets.
One that stands out is Billy Horschel. The American owns two top tens (2019 and 2020) and two further top 15s (2014 and 2015) in his last six visits to Jack’s place and it’s a venue that consistently rewards his strong ball striking.
Horschel returned to action with T38 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and then did little wrong despite missing cuts at the RBC Heritage and Travelers Championship. His round scores in those two events were 69-70-70-68 so it was more a case of two birdie-fests not suiting him.
However, he rocked up at Muirfield Village last week and twirled 72-69-70-66 to finish in a tie for seventh and once again show his liking for this property.
Another top 20 here at +333 with bet365 looks a smart play.
In the outright market, take Bryson DeChambeau at +1050 with DraftKings while Danny Willett at -120 can do a better finishing position than Brandt Snedeker in the same firm’s matchups. Finally, take bet365’s +333 for Billy Horschel to make the top 20.
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.