Met Mile (Belmont Park) Predictions & Betting Odds
If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Travel Column (7/2)
Met Mile Post Position and Odds
Check out our predictions and odds for the Met Mile at Belmont Park!
|1||MISCHIEVOUS ALEX||3/1 |
|I Ortiz Jr||S Joseph Jr|
|2||DR POST||9/2 |
|J Velazquez||T Pletcher|
|3||SILVER STATE||7/2 |
|R Santana Jr||S Asmussen|
|T Gaffalione||J Sisterson|
|5||BY MY STANDARDS||8/1 |
|G Saez||W B Calhoun|
|6||KNICKS GO||3/2 |
|J Rosario||B Cox|
Best Bets for the Met Mile
Here are my plays ($60 in total)
$5 Exacta Box – Silver State, By My Standards and Dr Post = $30
$20 Win – Silver State = $20
$10 Win – By My Standards = $10
Met Mile Top Pick
Odds provided by TwinSpires. Click below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet!
|Silver State (7/2) and By My Standards (8/1)|
In his first start since finishing fourth in the $20 million Saudi Cup in February, Knicks Go rates top billing in a compact but talented field of six older males set for Saturday’s $1 million Met Mile at Belmont Park.
Trained by Brad Cox, the 5-year-old will be looking for his third win in a million-dollar race in his last four starts. In his two efforts before the trip over for the world’s richest race, the son of Paynter was a most impressive front running winner of both the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile in November and the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup in January. Joel Rosario will once again be in the saddle and the pair will break from the outside post.
Chief among his rivals will be a pair of horses coming into the Grade 1 race in their best possible form. Mischievous Alex is perfect in three starts while sprinting this year, including a 5 ½-length romp last time in the Grade 1 Carter last time out. The son of Into Mischief has won 7-of-12 overall and carried his speed last year to win the Grade 3 Gotham at a mile last spring.
Meanwhile, Silver State has won five races in a row for trainer Steve Asmussen. A son of Hard Spun, his winning streak began last October at Keeneland and included victories at four different distances between 7 and 9 furlongs. Most recently, he rallied to win the Grade 2 Oaklawn Handicap on April 17
Stakes winners Dr Post, By My Standards and Lexitonian complete the field for the one mile test, carded as race 9 on the Belmont Stakes day card.
How to Watch the Met Mile
|Met Mile Information|
|Race||Met Mile (Grade 1)|
|Time||Saturday, June 5 — 4:42 pm Eastern time|
|How to Watch||NBC Sports|
— Daily Racing Form (@DRFInsidePost) June 3, 2021
He has been a terror on the lead ever since joining the Brad Cox barn more than a year ago. Two dominant allowance wins preceded his victories in Dirt Mile and Pegasus. In all four wins, he went straight to the lead and sprinted away from his competition at the head of the lane. This will be his first race since February’s Saudi Cup, though, and the layoff, as well as the travel, raise questions whether he is once again ready to defeat a field of this caliber. At his best, he is strictly the one to beat, but as a heavy favorite and with other quality speed in here, this looks like a race to take a shot against him.
Breaking from the rail it looks like this streaking sprinter will be asked to take the race to the favorite Knicks Go early, as leaving that one alone on an easy lead would likely be too much to overcome. Add to that, he will also be facing the toughest field he has yet to face. It promises to be a tough assignment for this 4-year-old, but his Carter victory was impressive enough to believe he has a shot to pull it off. Off his recent form, he is a real threat, but the class of his competition, as well as the distance, might be too much to ask for from a horse who is best going a little shorter.
This son of Hard Spun showed plenty of promise, but couldn’t quite get over the hump early on in his career, but after a physical setback and layoff, he has come back better than ever. He also has the turn of foot to win sprinting or going two turns, which bodes well for his chances in this one-mile tweener. Obviously, this will be his toughest test yet, but with a running style that can stay in touch early and then kick it in with a burst of speed, this edition of the Met Mile could set up for him well. If the favorite runs his race, it will be tough for anyone to get him, but this one is coming into the race perfectly, and I fully expect him to make his presence felt down the stretch. He is the top pick.
Not quite good enough to break though in graded stakes competition last year, this lightly raced son of Quality Road looks to prove that he is better as an older horse. His best race last season did come in the one-turn Belmont of 2020, so the track and the distance should suit him. Like a few others in here, he’ll need to make up ground on the turn, but that is where he has enjoyed success in each of his three-lifetime wins. The return win in the Grade 3 Westchester came against cheaper but should serve as a good prep for Saturday’s big test. He’s in with a shot.
By My Standards
This son of Goldencents is best suited for races at 9 furlongs or less, so a run in the Met Mile makes perfect sense after testing the waters at longer last year. Like Dr Post, he’s had only one race this year, and it was a good one, getting up late to defeat Rushie in the Oaklawn Mile eight weeks ago. Things only get tougher here, but with his good tactical speed and the short field, look for him to get a perfect stalking position early. When he’s done that in the past, he’s proven to be a very tough out capable of competing with the best. At 10/1 on the morning line, I believe he offers excellent value in here. He is a live long shot.
This one ran a very nice race last time to split the classy sprinter’s Flagstaff and Whitmore in the Grade 1 Churchill Downs last time. It was a surprise at better than 40/1, but on occasion, he has shown flashes of real ability. Still, even a repeat of that effort probably would not be enough against the five he has to face in here. He is an awfully nice horse to be the longest shot on the board, but on the other hand, I like him no better than the sixth best in this six-horse field.
Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
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